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Resulted

AU - Mingenew - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
7f
Class B
Turf
GOOD 3
9.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

QUICK COOKIE (1) sets the standard after a much stronger 4yo+ NMW1Y at Belmont Park, where she was unwanted in betting yet charged home to finish sixth, beaten a length and a half. The drop from Saturday company to this Class B is significant, and the 7f looks workable given her distance place record, though the top weight keeps it from being a formality. DANEA ROCK (2) is the immediate danger after running second in a 3yo+ Maiden at Junction, beaten a length, and the first-time blinkers give her another chance to convert. BLITZ (5) has been freshened since a fair Carnarvon Class 1 effort and his earlier wide third gives him a case for the multiples if the back in trip is no issue. SWEET EYES (6) also comes through Class 1 company at Carnarvon and gets weight relief, but she must turn solid efforts into something sharper to win.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Quick Cookie silk

Dropped back from Saturday company after a sound sixth in a 4yo+ NMW1Y over 5f at Belmont Park, beaten a length and a half after charging home from the rear on soft ground despite being unwanted in the market. The previous Roebourne run was plain, but there was a wide-run excuse and she now rises to a trip where she has placed five times from seven. Up to 7f is the query, but this is the right race if she backs it up.

1st Pick
1

Quick Cookie

Jockey: Sharni Webster

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Sharni Webster

T: Ryan Hill

272---80%

Analysis

Dropped back from Saturday company after a sound sixth in a 4yo+ NMW1Y over 5f at Belmont Park, beaten a length and a half after charging home from the rear on soft ground despite being unwanted in the market. The previous Roebourne run was plain, but there was a wide-run excuse and she now rises to a trip where she has placed five times from seven. Up to 7f is the query, but this is the right race if she backs it up.

2
Danea Rock silk

Went close in a 3yo+ Maiden at Junction last start, finishing second to Coupe Deburj and beaten a length after working home evenly from the back half. That was a clear improvement on her 3yo+ Benchmark 56+ run at Carnarvon when big odds and beaten five and a half lengths. Long maiden record is the knock, but she gets another real chance.

2nd Pick
2

Danea Rock

Jockey: Joseph See

Trainer: Malcolm Mackenzie

J: Joseph See

T: Malcolm Mackenzie

138---15%

Analysis

Went close in a 3yo+ Maiden at Junction last start, finishing second to Coupe Deburj and beaten a length after working home evenly from the back half. That was a clear improvement on her 3yo+ Benchmark 56+ run at Carnarvon when big odds and beaten five and a half lengths. Long maiden record is the knock, but she gets another real chance.

5
Blitz silk

Returns from a two-month freshening after finishing fifth in a 2yo+ Class 1 over 1m at Carnarvon, beaten six and a half lengths when big odds and only keeping on. His prior third at Carnarvon was better, beaten just over three lengths after covering ground throughout. Place profile if sharp enough back in trip.

3rd Pick
5

Blitz

Jockey: Bailey Webster

Trainer: Peter Moses

J: Bailey Webster

T: Peter Moses

72---10%

Analysis

Returns from a two-month freshening after finishing fifth in a 2yo+ Class 1 over 1m at Carnarvon, beaten six and a half lengths when big odds and only keeping on. His prior third at Carnarvon was better, beaten just over three lengths after covering ground throughout. Place profile if sharp enough back in trip.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.