AU - Mackay - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

7.8f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

AIRWAVES (4) is the one to beat after stringing together wins in BM50 grade at Ewan and BM55 grade at Bowen, the latest when beating Mordecai by just over half a length. He rises to a stronger meeting and BM60 level, but his current form, wet-track record and perfect two-from-two pairing with Mitch Goring give him the most reliable winning profile. ENGELINE (11) is the main danger, with her Cloncurry third better than it reads after being checked near the 1 ½f and she drops sharply in weight. DECIMUS (10) has not been winning, yet the class drop, weight relief and long record around this distance make him a genuine improver. SEALORD (7) comes through stronger BM65 and BM70 races, was only beaten a length and a half at Bowen after covering ground, and appeals as the value runner if he handles the shorter trip.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Comes in with winning momentum after beating Mordecai in a BM55 at Bowen, following a stronger victory over Khamis in BM50 grade at Ewan. This is a firmer BM60 test at a harder meeting, and the draw is wider, but he handles wet ground and is unbeaten in two starts with Mitch Goring. Rises to BM60, but his form is the strongest and he looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 4 Airwaves Jockey: Mitch Goring Trainer: Matthew Mcguire J: Mitch Goring T: Matthew Mcguire	105	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Comes in with winning momentum after beating Mordecai in a BM55 at Bowen, following a stronger victory over Khamis in BM50 grade at Ewan. This is a firmer BM60 test at a harder meeting, and the draw is wider, but he handles wet ground and is unbeaten in two starts with Mitch Goring. Rises to BM60, but his form is the strongest and he looks the one to beat.
11	Ran third in a BM50 at Cloncurry, beaten just over two lengths after being checked near the 1 ½f, so there was merit in the effort. Her Ewan run in BM70 grade prior was plain, but she now gets significant weight relief and has a solid wet-track and turf profile. Handles wet ground and looks a major threat from the low draw. 2nd Pick 11 Engeline Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Nikki Olzard T: Lachie Manzelmann	133	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Ran third in a BM50 at Cloncurry, beaten just over two lengths after being checked near the 1 ½f, so there was merit in the effort. Her Ewan run in BM70 grade prior was plain, but she now gets significant weight relief and has a solid wet-track and turf profile. Handles wet ground and looks a major threat from the low draw.
10	Gets a more suitable set-up after finishing fourth in Class 3 grade at Bowen, beaten just over five lengths over 6f. His Townsville eighth before that was better than it looks on paper, only three and a half lengths away after being unwanted in the market. Recent figures are better than the form line suggests. 3rd Pick 10 Decimus Jockey: Amie Meissner Trainer: Joshua Manzelmann J: Amie Meissner T: Joshua Manzelmann	109	-	-	-	3%	33/1
Analysis Gets a more suitable set-up after finishing fourth in Class 3 grade at Bowen, beaten just over five lengths over 6f. His Townsville eighth before that was better than it looks on paper, only three and a half lengths away after being unwanted in the market. Recent figures are better than the form line suggests.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.