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5:57 AM

AU - Mackay - Race 6

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Class 2
Turf
SOFT 5
15.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Competitive. ZAYA (3) is speedy and missed a nose here this grade/trip first-up before coming back and recording a 58 win over 6 ½f when she skipped across from a wide gate and led. Back 1f in trip, and she should make short work of another awkward barrier. Presents fitter again and can go on with the job. DETERMINATION (2) ran below his best here last time in stronger company, but had come off three narrow defeats at Rockhampton, and they stack right up. The wide gate is a niggle, but he can feature with average luck. RAVENITE (9) resumes, and he started his last campaign in good style when in the placings over 5 ¼f at this track. Draws inside and has a handy 4lbs claim. He can make the finish if presented on song. SPIRIT OF MAC (1) resumed improved winning a CL3 at Townsville on a heavy track. Surprised the market but Wiggins rides today, suggesting he's pleasing. Has been kept on the fresh side and is worth a look.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Zaya silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at this track Cl2 on March 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, head behind La Petite Maison carrying 121lbs at $4. Last start won by a neck at this track 0 - 58 April 2 over 6 ½f defeating Leica Flamingo carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Well placed. Back in trip but is racing well and will be fitter.

1st Pick
3

Zaya

Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon

Trainer: Rebecca Binder

J: Tahlia Fenlon

T: Rebecca Binder

157---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at this track Cl2 on March 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, head behind La Petite Maison carrying 121lbs at $4. Last start won by a neck at this track 0 - 58 April 2 over 6 ½f defeating Leica Flamingo carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Well placed. Back in trip but is racing well and will be fitter.

2
Determination silk

Dual acceptor. Most recently 5th of 7 at this track Bm65 on April 2 over 6f, 6 len behind Dealing's Done carrying 127lbs at $5. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Rockhampton Cl4 on March 14 over 6f, slow going 1.4 len behind Nicconori with 125lbs at $5. Draws out but a decent chance on his best form.

2nd Pick
2

Determination

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ricky Vale

J: Non Runner

T: Ricky Vale

181---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Most recently 5th of 7 at this track Bm65 on April 2 over 6f, 6 len behind Dealing's Done carrying 127lbs at $5. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Rockhampton Cl4 on March 14 over 6f, slow going 1.4 len behind Nicconori with 125lbs at $5. Draws out but a decent chance on his best form.

9
Ravenite silk

Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 7 at this track Cl1 October 24 over 6f, 4 len behind Melo Melo Kava carrying 126lbs at $10. Previously first up, third of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw June 5 over 5 ¼f, a head behind Zaya carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Likely to play a major role.

3rd Pick
9

Ravenite

Jockey: Amie Meissner

Trainer: Wayne Pomfrett

J: Amie Meissner

T: Wayne Pomfrett

103---10%9/1

Analysis

Resumes after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 7 at this track Cl1 October 24 over 6f, 4 len behind Melo Melo Kava carrying 126lbs at $10. Previously first up, third of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw June 5 over 5 ¼f, a head behind Zaya carrying 128lbs at $3.70. Likely to play a major role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).