AU - Mackay - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

6.5f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

THE EXTREME CAT (5) brings the strongest overall case after winning at Emerald on soft ground and he has the right supporting profile for this, with five wins from 17 on wet tracks and two wins from ten at the distance. The move from picnic company to a harder meeting is noted, but his recent form and proven Mackay record give him clear appeal. THE DRILLER (8) revived his form with a strong Innisfail win over 1 ¼m and returns quickly, which is assessed as a positive, though Raetihi did have his measure at Cloncurry two runs ago. STELLAR LEGEND (9) resumes after a consistent last campaign, including a soft-track nose second as odds-on favourite and a dominant win at this track before the break, the lack of a 6 ½f win is the main reservation. RAETIHI (4) dug in to win at Cloncurry last start, has been productive this season and gets weight relief with the apprentice claim, so he remains a genuine place hope despite the awkward draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Comes off a soft-ground win at Emerald, beating June by a length and a half despite jumping awkwardly, and now steps from picnic company to a harder meeting with strong recent credentials. He has won five times on wet tracks, owns a good record at this venue, and is already proven at 6 ½f. Harder meeting now, but recent form makes him the one to beat. 1st Pick 5 The Extreme Cat Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Warwick Satherley T: Lachie Manzelmann	187	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes off a soft-ground win at Emerald, beating June by a length and a half despite jumping awkwardly, and now steps from picnic company to a harder meeting with strong recent credentials. He has won five times on wet tracks, owns a good record at this venue, and is already proven at 6 ½f. Harder meeting now, but recent form makes him the one to beat.
8	Responded sharply at Innisfail last start, overcoming a squeeze at the start before lengthening well to beat Sigiriya Rock by just over a length. The start prior he was only moderate behind Raetihi at Cloncurry, beaten three and a half lengths over 1m. Has to turn the tables on Raetihi from two back, but the latest win gives him strong claims. 2nd Pick 8 The Driller Jockey: Nathan Thomas Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Nathan Thomas T: Lachie Manzelmann	85	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Responded sharply at Innisfail last start, overcoming a squeeze at the start before lengthening well to beat Sigiriya Rock by just over a length. The start prior he was only moderate behind Raetihi at Cloncurry, beaten three and a half lengths over 1m. Has to turn the tables on Raetihi from two back, but the latest win gives him strong claims.
9	Returns from a five-month break after a very consistent last campaign, ending with a nose second to Sideshow Frankie at Moranbah when odds-on in a BM55 after racing keenly and being bumped late. His previous run was a dominant win at this track, beating Batemans Bay by just under four lengths. The 6 ½f win record is the query, but his best form is good enough. 3rd Pick 9 Stellar Legend Jockey: Raul Silvera Olivera Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Raul Silvera Olivera T: Lachie Manzelmann	58	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Returns from a five-month break after a very consistent last campaign, ending with a nose second to Sideshow Frankie at Moranbah when odds-on in a BM55 after racing keenly and being bumped late. His previous run was a dominant win at this track, beating Batemans Bay by just under four lengths. The 6 ½f win record is the query, but his best form is good enough.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

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A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

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A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.