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6:45 AM

AU - Mackay - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
14.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Looks an open race to close out the card. THE EXTREME CAT (3) settled well back when 3.5 lengths from the winner in ninth over 6f at Rosehill last start. Will enjoy a sharp drop in class here so could present some value with the claim. ZAYA (11) finished 2.6 lengths away from the winner last time at this track and gets in light at the weights. Has the pace to settle in the leading division and should be involved in the finish. The well-related HOT DIGITY BOOM (2) (half to G3 winner Charge) was out of the money when resuming from a spell last start over 6f at Townsville, beaten 2.5 lengths. Strips fitter now and should be thereabouts. OUR MISSILE (5) grows a leg for hoop Sewell who has only missed a drum once in eight steers. Has to be included in calculations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
The Extreme Cat silk

Comes off a 47 day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 at Rosehill on July 4 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Nullarbor Jane carrying 130lbs at $15. The run before that ran second last of 9 at Canterbury on May 27 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Laurel Hill carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Major player against this line-up.

1st Pick
3

The Extreme Cat

Jockey: Mitch Goring

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Mitch Goring

T: Lachie Manzelmann

145---5%20/1

Analysis

Comes off a 47 day let-up. Most recently 9th of 11 at Rosehill on July 4 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Nullarbor Jane carrying 130lbs at $15. The run before that ran second last of 9 at Canterbury on May 27 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Laurel Hill carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Major player against this line-up.

6
Thee Creek silk

At the latest run favourite, won by a head at Townsville on August 8 over 5f defeating Unifies with 131lbs at $4. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Miss Funny Honey carrying 132lbs at $9. Racing well and can feature again.

2nd Pick
6

Thee Creek

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ricky Vale

J: Non Runner

T: Ricky Vale

147---1%

Scratched

Analysis

At the latest run favourite, won by a head at Townsville on August 8 over 5f defeating Unifies with 131lbs at $4. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Miss Funny Honey carrying 132lbs at $9. Racing well and can feature again.

11
Zaya silk

Most recently led to the turn then faded 6th of 8 at this track on July 25 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind El Fortress carrying 127lbs at $15. The start before that 3rd of 8 at this track on July 2 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Maximum Power with 126lbs at $3.20. Major player.

3rd Pick
11

Zaya

Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon

Trainer: Rebecca Binder

J: Tahlia Fenlon

T: Rebecca Binder

95---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently led to the turn then faded 6th of 8 at this track on July 25 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind El Fortress carrying 127lbs at $15. The start before that 3rd of 8 at this track on July 2 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Maximum Power with 126lbs at $3.20. Major player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.