AU - Mackay - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ANTHROPOLOGY (9) sets the standard off a last-start Class B win at Eidsvold, where she was sent out odds-on and beat I Am Pietra by just over a length. The move into stronger company is the main test, but she gets weight relief, has been holding her form well and brings a strong jockey-horse record. HOLY CROWN (10) is the proven local option, with a win and four placings from nine starts at this track and a last-start Bowen second in BM50 grade when beaten just over half a length as favourite. GOTTA HERO (8) has the right recent profile after winning a BM60 two back and placing as favourite in a BM50 at Emerald, with the claim helping offset the rise in grade. LONHY'S FABRE (2) has placed at both runs this campaign, owns a strong track-and-trip record and rates as the reliable placing danger if he can turn those consistent thirds into a sharper finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Won as an odds-on favourite in Class B grade at Eidsvold last start, beating I Am Pietra by just over a length and doing what the market expected. She had earlier run Entitle to a long neck in a BM50 at Emerald after jumping awkwardly, so the form is both current and reliable. Brings the clearest winning case. 1st Pick 9 Anthropology Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Kevin J Miller J: Nikki Olzard T: Kevin J Miller	160	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Won as an odds-on favourite in Class B grade at Eidsvold last start, beating I Am Pietra by just over a length and doing what the market expected. She had earlier run Entitle to a long neck in a BM50 at Emerald after jumping awkwardly, so the form is both current and reliable. Brings the clearest winning case.
10	Went close in a BM50 at Bowen last start, finishing second to Tarong by just over half a length as favourite. She was only just over two lengths away at Townsville on soft ground before that at big odds, and her record at this track gives her a solid platform. Wide draw is a hurdle, but weight relief keeps her a strong hope. 2nd Pick 10 Holy Crown Jockey: Christopher Mciver Trainer: Mark R Cochrane J: Christopher Mciver T: Mark R Cochrane	83	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Went close in a BM50 at Bowen last start, finishing second to Tarong by just over half a length as favourite. She was only just over two lengths away at Townsville on soft ground before that at big odds, and her record at this track gives her a solid platform. Wide draw is a hurdle, but weight relief keeps her a strong hope.
8	Brings a solid profile after finishing third as favourite in a BM50 at Emerald, beaten just under two lengths on soft ground. That followed a narrow BM60 win at Twin Hills, so the recent form is holding together, and the apprentice claim gives him useful weight relief from his latest run. Claim helps and he is right in the race. 3rd Pick 8 Gotta Hero Jockey: Tom Orr Trainer: Darryl Johnston J: Tom Orr T: Darryl Johnston	127	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Brings a solid profile after finishing third as favourite in a BM50 at Emerald, beaten just under two lengths on soft ground. That followed a narrow BM60 win at Twin Hills, so the recent form is holding together, and the apprentice claim gives him useful weight relief from his latest run. Claim helps and he is right in the race.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.