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5:35 AM

AU - Mackay - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
16.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BALKAN MELODY (8) has hit the top-five in all six starts to date and this is not an overly strong affair. Looks to be working up to a maiden victory and should be right there when the whips are cracking. BESTOV (6) missed the placings two runs back then was always well out of her ground last start when 7 lengths away in seventh over 6f at Emerald. Stepping up a level this time but on her best form she is right in contention. MO SPIRIT (4) will be cherry-ripe now fourth run back and gets some weight relief with the 3lbs claim. Top-three credentials. SAILING SOLO (5) could only manage to finish eighth, beaten 5.5 lengths, at his latest appearance over 7f at Rockhampton after he gave away a big start. Among the top-three chances in what looks a nice race for him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Balkan Melody silk

Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Rockhampton on August 13 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Gin 'N' Juice with 122lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 10 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 5 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Anders Kiss with 121lbs at $5. Right in this contest.

1st Pick
8

Balkan Melody

Jockey: Raul Silvera Olivera

Trainer: Jason Morgan

J: Raul Silvera Olivera

T: Jason Morgan

147---45%5/4

Analysis

Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Rockhampton on August 13 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Gin 'N' Juice with 122lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 10 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 5 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Anders Kiss with 121lbs at $5. Right in this contest.

6
Bestov silk

Last start 7th of 9 at Emerald on August 17 over 6f, 7 len behind The Defender carrying 127lbs at $31. The race before that 4th of 8 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Mr Democrat carrying 121lbs at $31. In a suitable race and is sure to run well.

2nd Pick
6

Bestov

Jockey: Adam Sewell

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Adam Sewell

T: Lachie Manzelmann

126---12%15/2

Analysis

Last start 7th of 9 at Emerald on August 17 over 6f, 7 len behind The Defender carrying 127lbs at $31. The race before that 4th of 8 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Mr Democrat carrying 121lbs at $31. In a suitable race and is sure to run well.

4
Mo Spirit silk

Most recently 5th of 11 at this track on July 25 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Blue Toes with 122lbs at $17. Before that raced on the pace before fading ran second last of 11 at Townsville on July 5 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Small Town Hussler with 126lbs at $5.50. Hard to fault if at his best.

3rd Pick
4

Mo Spirit

Jockey: Amie Meissner

Trainer: David Micallef

J: Amie Meissner

T: David Micallef

144---15%6/1

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 11 at this track on July 25 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Blue Toes with 122lbs at $17. Before that raced on the pace before fading ran second last of 11 at Townsville on July 5 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Small Town Hussler with 126lbs at $5.50. Hard to fault if at his best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.