AU - Mackay - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.2f

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ERIMAR (8) is the one to beat after putting a Class 1 away by three and a half lengths at Rockhampton as favourite, and his previous Open run at Doomben was also sound when beaten two and a half lengths behind High Prophet. He has won two of three at this distance and brings the strongest recent rating profile. WASABI BARBIE (9) is the clear danger, having resumed with an Open win at Rockhampton on soft ground and with a proven 5 ¼f record. MISS MONEYPENNY (2) was below market expectations at Birdsville, but her Class 6 win at Cairns two back reads well for this and she handles wet ground. UNIFIES (1) is back from a six week freshen after a BM65 win at this track. In the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Dominant at Rockhampton last start, winning a Class 1 by three and a half lengths as favourite after quickening away from August Joe. That followed a sound Doomben Open sixth behind High Prophet, beaten two and a half lengths with interference late, so the form has substance. Proven at 5 ¼f, eased in meeting grade and looks the one they have to beat. 1st Pick 8 Erimar Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Kevin J Miller J: Ryan Wiggins T: Kevin J Miller	223	-	-	-	67%	1/2
Analysis Dominant at Rockhampton last start, winning a Class 1 by three and a half lengths as favourite after quickening away from August Joe. That followed a sound Doomben Open sixth behind High Prophet, beaten two and a half lengths with interference late, so the form has substance. Proven at 5 ¼f, eased in meeting grade and looks the one they have to beat.
9	Resumed with a strong Open win at Rockhampton on soft ground, beating Stylish Diamond by a length after moving into the race smoothly and finishing through the line. Her previous run was a third at this track in Open company behind Blessed Boom when favourite. Clear danger with weight relief and the winning rider back. 2nd Pick 9 Wasabi Barbie Jockey: Christopher Mciver Trainer: Jamie Mcconachy J: Christopher Mciver T: Jamie Mcconachy	136	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Resumed with a strong Open win at Rockhampton on soft ground, beating Stylish Diamond by a length after moving into the race smoothly and finishing through the line. Her previous run was a third at this track in Open company behind Blessed Boom when favourite. Clear danger with weight relief and the winning rider back.
2	Returns from a two-month break after finishing fourth at Birdsville when beaten three and a half lengths as odds-on favourite, having been bumped at the start and keen early. Her Cairns win two back in Class 6 was stronger, coming from rearward to beat Arctic Bear as a well-supported favourite. Wet form keeps her right in the place mix. 3rd Pick 2 Miss Moneypenny Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Aidan Holt T: Lachie Manzelmann	108	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Returns from a two-month break after finishing fourth at Birdsville when beaten three and a half lengths as odds-on favourite, having been bumped at the start and keen early. Her Cairns win two back in Class 6 was stronger, coming from rearward to beat Arctic Bear as a well-supported favourite. Wet form keeps her right in the place mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.