AU - Mackay - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

16.1K

VIEW

Verdict

ROCK ANGEL (3) is the horse to beat, having placed on debut here, finishing just over a length behind despite a rough start. A recent trial win in Rockhampton shows he's fit and has significant improvement potential. COSMIC DYNASTY (7) poses the main threat, finishing third at Bowen as favorite and having a valid excuse for her wide run at Bairnsdale, but she needs to turn consistent maiden form into a victory. WILLOW CAPRI (10) offers solid local stats, with two placings from five starts here and a close second recently, her fresh record at this distance could translate into a win if she's in form. MAJESTIC CHOICE (9) showed improvement, finishing fourth at Bowen after a poor run at Ewan. Though her wide barrier and limited wins are concerns, her recent form makes her a contender.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Returns from a six-month break after a promising debut second at this track, beaten just over a length on soft ground as a short odds-on favourite. He did a few things wrong there, jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and laying out, yet still stuck on well before being run down late by Heroic Talent. Strong winning profile. 1st Pick 3 Rock Angel Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Kevin J Miller J: Nikki Olzard T: Kevin J Miller	139	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Returns from a six-month break after a promising debut second at this track, beaten just over a length on soft ground as a short odds-on favourite. He did a few things wrong there, jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and laying out, yet still stuck on well before being run down late by Heroic Talent. Strong winning profile.
7	Returns after three months off following a third at Bowen, where she was sent out favourite and finished just over two lengths from Emsies Girl. She hung in late there, while the Bairnsdale run two back is easier to overlook after racing four wide without cover on heavy ground. Blinkers off, strong jockey booked, genuine winning chance. 2nd Pick 7 Cosmic Dynasty Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Tracy Simmons J: Ryan Wiggins T: Tracy Simmons	105	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Returns after three months off following a third at Bowen, where she was sent out favourite and finished just over two lengths from Emsies Girl. She hung in late there, while the Bairnsdale run two back is easier to overlook after racing four wide without cover on heavy ground. Blinkers off, strong jockey booked, genuine winning chance.
10	Returns from a five-month break with sound local credentials, including two placings from five starts at this track and one placing from two tries at the distance. Her seventh at this venue before the break was below her best after jumping awkwardly and laying in, but the prior head second here behind Soydecafflatte reads well for this. Strong chance if ready. 3rd Pick 10 Willow Capri Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Rebecca Binder J: Warwick Satherley T: Rebecca Binder	85	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Returns from a five-month break with sound local credentials, including two placings from five starts at this track and one placing from two tries at the distance. Her seventh at this venue before the break was below her best after jumping awkwardly and laying in, but the prior head second here behind Soydecafflatte reads well for this. Strong chance if ready.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.