AU - Mackay - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

TARA I AM (6) is the horse to beat after winning both runs this campaign, first a Class 1 at Rockhampton and then a Class 2 at this track where she beat Shipping Lane by a head. Her 5 ½f record is strong and the wet-track place profile gives her enough comfort on the soft 5. TRIPLE TRIPLE (5) is the main danger, especially on the quick back-up after a Rockhampton fifth, with his head second in a BM68 at this venue the key form reference. FIVE STAR KING (4) has not had much luck at his past two, racing wide at Townsville and again at Rockhampton, and weight relief keeps him in the place mix despite the grade rise. DETERMINATION (1) resumes after three months with a BM70 placing at this track and reliable 5 ½f credentials, though the wide draw and fresh run make him a strong place hope.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Returns from a two-month freshening chasing a third straight win, having beaten Shipping Lane in a Class 2 at this track after travelling sweetly and lifting late. She had already beaten Doubtwilly in a Class 1 at Rockhampton, so the campaign has built the right way. Clear winning case again. 1st Pick 6 Tara I Am Jockey: Raul Silvera Olivera Trainer: Stephen Rundle J: Raul Silvera Olivera T: Stephen Rundle	152	-	-	-	46%	6/5
Analysis Returns from a two-month freshening chasing a third straight win, having beaten Shipping Lane in a Class 2 at this track after travelling sweetly and lifting late. She had already beaten Doubtwilly in a Class 1 at Rockhampton, so the campaign has built the right way. Clear winning case again.
5	Returns on the six-day back-up after finishing fifth at Rockhampton on soft ground, beaten just over four lengths after an awkward start. That was below his best, because he had earlier been beaten only a head in a BM68 at this track as a well-supported favourite. Can threaten. 2nd Pick 5 Triple Triple Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Kerrod Smyth J: Warwick Satherley T: Kerrod Smyth	222	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Returns on the six-day back-up after finishing fifth at Rockhampton on soft ground, beaten just over four lengths after an awkward start. That was below his best, because he had earlier been beaten only a head in a BM68 at this track as a well-supported favourite. Can threaten.
4	Had genuine excuses when seventh in a BM55 at Rockhampton, jumping awkwardly and racing wide throughout before being beaten four and a half lengths. He also raced wide when second last in a BM70 at Townsville, so his recent finishing positions read worse than the effort. Weight relief helps his case. 3rd Pick 4 Five Star King Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Ricky Vale J: Ryan Wiggins T: Ricky Vale	158	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Had genuine excuses when seventh in a BM55 at Rockhampton, jumping awkwardly and racing wide throughout before being beaten four and a half lengths. He also raced wide when second last in a BM70 at Townsville, so his recent finishing positions read worse than the effort. Weight relief helps his case.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.