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3:27 AM

AU - Mackay - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
16.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CAPRICORNUS (3) was always forward first-up, missing a whisker this track/trip. Draws to advantage, and the tongue tie is on again. Draws for a soft run and is sure to be improved. LIVELY SPIRIT (7) debuts for the Button yard with Wiggins a key jockey engagement. Brings a comfortable trial win and has the blinkers on, and that signals intent. A bold run is on the cards, EXODAS (1) resumes after a yard switch and has been racing in much tougher company at Eagle Farm. Didn't do a lot four starts back at his only fresh run, but that was at Doomben, and he was good after. The betting will be key. FROSTY'S GOTCHA (8) improved sharply here over 6f, beaten a half-length. Keeps the 4lbs claim and would go close holding that form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Capricornus silk

Second-up. First-up after eight months sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 2 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Pleasepleaseplease carrying 129lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Rockhampton 3yo Mdn on April 11 2025 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Billy Boom carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
3

Capricornus

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ricky Vale

J: Non Runner

T: Ricky Vale

158---27%

Scratched

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after eight months sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 2 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Pleasepleaseplease carrying 129lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Rockhampton 3yo Mdn on April 11 2025 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Billy Boom carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Hard to beat.

7
Lively Spirit silk

Filly by Spirit Of Boom making her first appearance. Won a Bowen trial over 5f on April 11. Prefer to see.

2nd Pick
7

Lively Spirit

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Tom Button

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Tom Button

119---23%7/2

Analysis

Filly by Spirit Of Boom making her first appearance. Won a Bowen trial over 5f on April 11. Prefer to see.

1
Exodas silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw September 24 over 7f, 6 len behind Heavenly Conquest carrying 128lbs at $4.80. On debut tenth of 12 at Doomben 2yo Mdn-Sw July 30 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Anders' Style carrying 128lbs at $61. Looks all set for a positive return.

3rd Pick
1

Exodas

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Aidan Holt

T: Lachie Manzelmann

125---29%5/2

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Eagle Farm 3yo Mdn-Sw September 24 over 7f, 6 len behind Heavenly Conquest carrying 128lbs at $4.80. On debut tenth of 12 at Doomben 2yo Mdn-Sw July 30 over 6f, soft track, 8 len behind Anders' Style carrying 128lbs at $61. Looks all set for a positive return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.