AU - Mackay - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

6.5f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

NEXT STOP JUPITER (2) has the sharpest recent profile, winning a BM55 at Rockhampton by a head after being beaten only a neck there the start prior. She has missed the quinella just once in eight starts, handles soft ground and reunites with a rider who has an excellent record on her, so the six-day back-up is the only real reservation. FABULEAN (1) is the obvious danger after winning a BM65 at Townsville and she brings proven 6 ½f and this-track form, though the top weight keeps the contest honest. MISSILE BABY (5) has been close up in two Open runs this campaign, including a solid fourth at Rockhampton at big odds, and looks a genuine place hope with weight relief. SNAPPEN (6) earned his place in the discussion with a Cloncurry Mdn win, but this is his first run around 6 ½f and his turf record remains the query.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Made it three wins from eight starts when edging out Adranos in a BM55 at Rockhampton last week, and that followed a narrow second to Sujeed in the same grade. The quick back-up is the main query, but she is rock-solid at this trip, handles soft ground and Sean Cormack has three wins and a placing from four rides on her. Quick back-up is the query, but she looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Next Stop Jupiter Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Kevin J Miller J: Aidan Holt T: Kevin J Miller	232	-	-	-	58%
Analysis Made it three wins from eight starts when edging out Adranos in a BM55 at Rockhampton last week, and that followed a narrow second to Sujeed in the same grade. The quick back-up is the main query, but she is rock-solid at this trip, handles soft ground and Sean Cormack has three wins and a placing from four rides on her. Quick back-up is the query, but she looks the one to beat.
1	Won a BM65 at Townsville last start, beating Singular by just over half a length on soft ground after being near the top of betting. She had been third in a Class 3 at Bowen the run prior, beaten a length by Diamond Lucy, and her record around 6 ½f reads strongly. Top weight is the query, but she is a genuine winning chance. 2nd Pick 1 Fabulean Jockey: Amie Meissner Trainer: Jennifer Hatfield J: Amie Meissner T: Jennifer Hatfield	244	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Won a BM65 at Townsville last start, beating Singular by just over half a length on soft ground after being near the top of betting. She had been third in a Class 3 at Bowen the run prior, beaten a length by Diamond Lucy, and her record around 6 ½f reads strongly. Top weight is the query, but she is a genuine winning chance.
5	Worked home from well back for fourth in an Open at Rockhampton last start, beaten two and a half lengths on soft ground despite starting at big odds. She had earlier run third to Touch Base at Bowen, also beaten two and a half lengths, after beginning awkwardly. Place claims. 3rd Pick 5 Missile Baby Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Kevin J Miller J: Nikki Olzard T: Kevin J Miller	151	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Worked home from well back for fourth in an Open at Rockhampton last start, beaten two and a half lengths on soft ground despite starting at big odds. She had earlier run third to Touch Base at Bowen, also beaten two and a half lengths, after beginning awkwardly. Place claims.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.