AU - Lismore - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

21.1K

VIEW

Verdict

DANCE GAVIN DANCE (4) has been freshened up since coming with a well-timed run to score over 5f at Casino 39 days ago. Kept up to the mark with a subsequent Grafton trial. Promising sprinter who is in the right race to add to his impressive record. PATRIOTICINTENTION (2) returned from a 38-day let-up last time out and missed the frame for the first time in a while over 5 ?f at Grafton. Loves the heavy going and will strip fitter following that last outing. Poses a big threat. HUMPHREE BEAR (8) stuck on well to just miss the placings when fresh from a spell over 5f at Grafton recently. Expected to be competitive out to this trip with that run under the belt. THEIR FINEST HOUR (6) scored two massive wins over shorter trips then led and was collared late when extended to 5 ?f at Grafton last time. In the mix but the last ½f is the issue. BEER BARON (7) returned to form last start and can never be ruled out of a race like this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 39-day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Casino Bm66 June 25 over 5f on a soft track defeating Bring Me Saki with 128lbs at $3.80. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Murwillumbah Ctry Bm58 on June 8 over 5f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Deep Stealth carrying 137lbs at $2.50. Well placed and sure to be in the finish again. 1st Pick 4 Dance Gavin Dance Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Owen Glue J: Danny Peisley T: Owen Glue	121	-	-	-	16%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 39-day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Casino Bm66 June 25 over 5f on a soft track defeating Bring Me Saki with 128lbs at $3.80. The race before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Murwillumbah Ctry Bm58 on June 8 over 5f, on a wet track, 1.2 len behind Deep Stealth carrying 137lbs at $2.50. Well placed and sure to be in the finish again.
2	Last start 5th of 13 at Grafton Ctryassoc - Cl6 on July 16 over 5f, 2 len behind Tough Guy carrying 120lbs at $61. The start before that 3rd in a small field at Murwillumbah Bm66 on June 8 over 6f, on a wet track, 2 len behind Too Hot To Torque carrying 129lbs at $5. Looms as a seriosu contender. 2nd Pick 2 Patrioticintention Jockey: Grace Palmer Trainer: Samantha Mcguren J: Grace Palmer T: Samantha Mcguren	102	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Last start 5th of 13 at Grafton Ctryassoc - Cl6 on July 16 over 5f, 2 len behind Tough Guy carrying 120lbs at $61. The start before that 3rd in a small field at Murwillumbah Bm66 on June 8 over 6f, on a wet track, 2 len behind Too Hot To Torque carrying 129lbs at $5. Looms as a seriosu contender.
8	Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 13 at Grafton Bm66 on July 16 over 5f, 3 len behind Manpower with 130lbs at $12. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Sunshine Coast Cl3 on February 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Admitted with 127lbs at $5. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 8 Humphree Bear Jockey: Boris Thornton Trainer: Shane Everson J: Boris Thornton T: Shane Everson	78	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 13 at Grafton Bm66 on July 16 over 5f, 3 len behind Manpower with 130lbs at $12. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Sunshine Coast Cl3 on February 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Admitted with 127lbs at $5. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.