AU - Lismore - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

LISTING CAPITAL (6) ran a cheeky race in the lead over 6f at Murwillumbah two back then wasn't suited dropping back to 5 ½f at Beaudesert last start when easily accounted for. Gets some weight relief today and draws the fence so this sets up beautifully. PIPPIE POMAR (12) has been in the money at five of 12 runs. Led and was brave but eventually overhauled last time out over 6 ¾f at Doomben. Meets an easier line-up this time and might be hard to catch. CAUTIONARY TAIL (7) has improved at each outing this prep, most recently clocking in fourth over 6 ¾f at Doomben. Cherry ripe and in the right company to play a big role. GRAFTING (2) is back after a 24-week spell. Raced three times in the maiden campaign and was competitive on each occasion. Can give this a shake on the back of two recent trials. The speedy KOBI EXPRESS (5) steps up sharply in distance. If he settles expect a bold run out in front.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Comes off a 38 day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Beaudesert 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Our Girl Scarlett carrying 128lbs at $4.40. The race before that 4th of 7 at Murwillumbah Cg&E Mdn on June 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Devine Squire with 121lbs at $3. Well placed. Can improve on the latest effort and is well-placed to take this out. 1st Pick 6 Listing Capital Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: Peter Robl J: Danny Peisley T: Peter Robl	110	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Comes off a 38 day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Beaudesert 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Our Girl Scarlett carrying 128lbs at $4.40. The race before that 4th of 7 at Murwillumbah Cg&E Mdn on June 8 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Devine Squire with 121lbs at $3. Well placed. Can improve on the latest effort and is well-placed to take this out.
12	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 9 at Doomben F&M Mdn-Sw on July 22 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Saturdays Girl with 120lbs at $31. The start before that 4th of 9 at Beaudesert 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 5 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Our Girl Scarlett with 123lbs at $12. Tough to beat back at this level. 2nd Pick 12 Pippie Pomar Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Tony & Maddysen Sears J: Brandon Lerena T: Tony & Maddysen Sears	138	-	-	-	16%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 9 at Doomben F&M Mdn-Sw on July 22 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Saturdays Girl with 120lbs at $31. The start before that 4th of 9 at Beaudesert 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 26 over 5 ½f, slow going 4 len behind Our Girl Scarlett with 123lbs at $12. Tough to beat back at this level.
7	At the latest run 4th of 10 at Doomben Cg&E Mdn-Sw on July 22 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Comin'hometoyou carrying 127lbs at $20. The race before that from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E Mdn-Sw on July 8 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Silent Thinker carrying 127lbs at $8.50. Nice effort last time. Nicely placed and is among the leading hopes. 3rd Pick 7 Cautionary Tail Jockey: Ashley Butler Trainer: Marcus Wilson J: Ashley Butler T: Marcus Wilson	140	-	-	-	25%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 10 at Doomben Cg&E Mdn-Sw on July 22 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Comin'hometoyou carrying 127lbs at $20. The race before that from last on the turn 5th of 9 at Ipswich Cg&E Mdn-Sw on July 8 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Silent Thinker carrying 127lbs at $8.50. Nice effort last time. Nicely placed and is among the leading hopes.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.