AU - Lismore - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.6f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

20.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CITY OF TEARS (2) went so much better at Coffs Harbour. She sat just off the pace and rounded them up quickly. This race wouldn't be that much tougher and the claim is a bonus. Does appear like she has been looking for the journey. WARRIOR BAE (1) never ever runs you a bad race. He is never beaten far when he goes under. He just needs to be close enough in the run but does like it here. GOLD PUMA (6) is another who gets on well with Lismore. They may push forward this time. LOLITA (5) has had a nice campaign. They keep mixing her distances and she still runs well. MASTER ARTIST (4) did run nicely when resuming at Casino. His best form has come when there is sting out of the surface so monitor that.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently won by 3.5 len in a Cl2 at Coffs Harbour on October 31 over 6f in soft going defeating Youwroteuponit carrying 128lbs at $4.20. The run before that 8th of 11 in a Ctry Cl2-Sw at Taree on October 16 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Santatime carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Going well and rates highly. 1st Pick 2 City Of Tears Jockey: Grace Palmer Trainer: David Matts J: Grace Palmer T: David Matts	112	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently won by 3.5 len in a Cl2 at Coffs Harbour on October 31 over 6f in soft going defeating Youwroteuponit carrying 128lbs at $4.20. The run before that 8th of 11 in a Ctry Cl2-Sw at Taree on October 16 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Santatime carrying 126lbs at $8.50. Going well and rates highly.
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 in a 3&4yo Bm68 at Gold Coast on October 17 over 6f, slow going 1.1 len behind Cryptic Beauty with 125lbs at $10. The run before that 2nd of 11 in a Cl3 at this track on September 25 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Jukebox In Siberia carrying 125lbs at $6. Well placed. Has ability and can run a forward race. 2nd Pick 1 Warrior Bae Jockey: Paige Fergusson-Smith Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Paige Fergusson-Smith T: Matthew Dunn	204	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 in a 3&4yo Bm68 at Gold Coast on October 17 over 6f, slow going 1.1 len behind Cryptic Beauty with 125lbs at $10. The run before that 2nd of 11 in a Cl3 at this track on September 25 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Jukebox In Siberia carrying 125lbs at $6. Well placed. Has ability and can run a forward race.
6	Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 in a F&M Bm58 at this track on October 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Lennystar carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Ctry Cl1 at Grafton on September 21 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Star Of Winston carrying 118lbs at $31. Freshened up and will be hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 6 Gold Puma Jockey: Violet Soulsby Trainer: Ethan Ensby J: Violet Soulsby T: Ethan Ensby	89	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 in a F&M Bm58 at this track on October 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Lennystar carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Ctry Cl1 at Grafton on September 21 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Star Of Winston carrying 118lbs at $31. Freshened up and will be hard to hold out.

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