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4:25 AM

AU - Lismore - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
10.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
18.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BILLS ANGEL (5) has started to show early pace in her races recently and that has also seen an improvement in the results. She was close up two back then led and kept going over this very course and distance. Could easily see a carbon copy. QUALITY MISS (7) did run favourite three weeks back at Gatton. She is clearly enjoying racing around this type of trip. Will be right there all the way. CARACORON (3) showed more last outing than most recent ones. Gets some weight relief and usually runs well here. SUN TOPAZE (2) had been going well before the last effort in Brisbane. This is easier company. JUSTICE SERVED (1) comes back to the turf. Is one from one at this track and has some blinkers added.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Bills Angel silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.5 len in a Cl1-Sw at this track on October 18 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Zweigelt carrying 126lbs at $2.40. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Bm60 at Gold Coast Poly on October 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Fierce Luva carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Big chance again.

1st Pick
5

Bills Angel

Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer: Declan Maher

J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

T: Declan Maher

120---31%9/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.5 len in a Cl1-Sw at this track on October 18 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Zweigelt carrying 126lbs at $2.40. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Bm60 at Gold Coast Poly on October 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Fierce Luva carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Big chance again.

7
Quality Miss silk

Form hard to fault. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 in a Bm58 at Gatton on October 16 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Headline Legend carrying 120lbs at $2.70. The race before that favourite, won by 0.6 len in a 0 - 58 at Gatton on October 1 over 1 ¼m defeating Besiege carrying 119lbs at $12. Certainly worth another chance.

2nd Pick
7

Quality Miss

Jockey: Micheal Hellyer

Trainer: Diane G Murphy

J: Micheal Hellyer

T: Diane G Murphy

100---16%11/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 in a Bm58 at Gatton on October 16 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Headline Legend carrying 120lbs at $2.70. The race before that favourite, won by 0.6 len in a 0 - 58 at Gatton on October 1 over 1 ¼m defeating Besiege carrying 119lbs at $12. Certainly worth another chance.

3
Caracoron silk

Most recently got back early 3rd in a small field in a Bm58 at Casino on October 29 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 0.7 len behind Righteous with 128lbs at $4.80. Before that 5th of 7 in a Bm62 at Gold Coast on October 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Draw Attention carrying 131lbs at $10. Rates highly and can break through.

3rd Pick
3

Caracoron

Jockey: Siabh Rigley

Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee

J: Siabh Rigley

T: Stephen & Jordan Lee

165---16%11/2

Analysis

Most recently got back early 3rd in a small field in a Bm58 at Casino on October 29 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 0.7 len behind Righteous with 128lbs at $4.80. Before that 5th of 7 in a Bm62 at Gold Coast on October 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Draw Attention carrying 131lbs at $10. Rates highly and can break through.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.