AU - Lismore - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

DIVINE EFFORT (5) raced on the speed and gave his all but went under in a photo over 1 ?m at Grafton last start. That was his first appearance in five weeks so expect him to strip fitter today. Great chance to go one better. BOW TIE AFFAIR (4) hasn't been all that far away in recent runs. Stepped up sharply to 1 ?m at Grafton last time where he boxed on well without threatening. Should take a lot from that hit-out and is likely to play a key role. OUR SPARKY (8) came from next to last on straightening to get up for third recently over 1m at Grafton. On trial at this distance but it looks the right fit at this stage. SEALORD (2) broke his maiden status in convincing fashion last start at the Gold Coast over 1 ¼m. Has plenty of upside so should be able to take this next step. FLAMING GENESIS (7) ran a cheeky race first-up over 1 ¹/16m and will tighten right up for this assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Racing well recently. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Grafton Cl1-Sw on July 12 over 1m, nose behind Frictional Force carrying 123lbs at $6. The run before that 4th of 8 at Grafton Cl1-Sw on June 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Thundering Falcon carrying 123lbs at $6. Very honest and looks the testing material. 1st Pick 5 Divine Effort Jockey: Grace Palmer Trainer: Samantha Mcguren J: Grace Palmer T: Samantha Mcguren	112	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Grafton Cl1-Sw on July 12 over 1m, nose behind Frictional Force carrying 123lbs at $6. The run before that 4th of 8 at Grafton Cl1-Sw on June 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Thundering Falcon carrying 123lbs at $6. Very honest and looks the testing material.
4	At the latest run 4th of 10 at Grafton Cl1-Sw on July 12 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Frictional Force with 130lbs at $3.70. The run before that 7th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on June 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Notes with 132lbs at $5. Looks ready for a peak performance. 2nd Pick 4 Bow Tie Affair Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Phil Bobic J: Non Runner T: Phil Bobic	88	-	-	-	20%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 10 at Grafton Cl1-Sw on July 12 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Frictional Force with 130lbs at $3.70. The run before that 7th of 11 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on June 20 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Notes with 132lbs at $5. Looks ready for a peak performance.
8	Last start 3rd of 13 at Grafton Cl1 on July 24 over 1m, 3 len behind He Is The Kiss with 118lbs at $8.50. Before that 6th of 13 at Grafton Ctry Cl1 on July 16 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Satin And Cash carrying 121lbs at $21. Can improve again. In a suitable race and is among the leading chances. 3rd Pick 8 Our Sparky Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: Owen Glue J: Archie Mccolm T: Owen Glue	77	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 13 at Grafton Cl1 on July 24 over 1m, 3 len behind He Is The Kiss with 118lbs at $8.50. Before that 6th of 13 at Grafton Ctry Cl1 on July 16 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Satin And Cash carrying 121lbs at $21. Can improve again. In a suitable race and is among the leading chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.