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8:00 AM

AU - Launceston - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8f
Class 2
Turf
SOFT 5
18.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THICKSKINNED (2) started in the red in a field of four over 7f here last Friday but didn't quicken as hoped and beat just one home. Improved sharply last prep when he stepped up to the mile, taking out a Class 1 here under 59kgs. Finds the right race to put the record straight. REGAL HUNTER (1) had a 37-day let-up before leading but finding one better over this course and distance last start. Likes racing here and has been in the money at four of five runs over the mile. Poses a major threat. SNOWDONIA (8) came from midfield to be beaten just a head over 7f at this circuit recently. Yet to be tested beyond that trip but all signs are she will run this out strongly. CAVARETTA (7) switched from Waller to the Barry Campbell stable and was coming off a five-month spell when an impressive winner a fortnight ago over 7f here. Should relish the extra trip and another big run is on the cards. The lightly raced STOLLAWAY NED (4) is going well and looks ready to step up in distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Thickskinned silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd in a small field in a Cl3 Sw at Devonport Synthetic on September 9 over 5 ¾f, 1.75 len behind Glory Mission with 126lbs at $16. Second-up ran second last in a small field in a Cl3 at this track on October 2 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Alpine Fury with 127lbs at $1.85. Impressed last start. No excuses this evening.

1st Pick
2

Thickskinned

Jockey: Anthony Darmanin

Trainer: Mark Ganderton

J: Anthony Darmanin

T: Mark Ganderton

165---35%15/8

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd in a small field in a Cl3 Sw at Devonport Synthetic on September 9 over 5 ¾f, 1.75 len behind Glory Mission with 126lbs at $16. Second-up ran second last in a small field in a Cl3 at this track on October 2 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Alpine Fury with 127lbs at $1.85. Impressed last start. No excuses this evening.

1
Regal Hunter silk

Recent form sound. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 in a Cl3 Sw at this track on September 25 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Henley Extreme carrying 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that won by 0.5 len in a Mdn/Cl1-Sw at Hobart on August 19 over 1 5/16m on a rain affected track defeating Honest Warrior with 130lbs at $4.40. Very honest gelding with sound top-three prospects again.

2nd Pick
1

Regal Hunter

Jockey: David Pires

Trainer: Jessie Bazan

J: David Pires

T: Jessie Bazan

142---14%13/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 8 in a Cl3 Sw at this track on September 25 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Henley Extreme carrying 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that won by 0.5 len in a Mdn/Cl1-Sw at Hobart on August 19 over 1 5/16m on a rain affected track defeating Honest Warrior with 130lbs at $4.40. Very honest gelding with sound top-three prospects again.

8
Snowdonia silk

At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Bm60 at this track on September 25 over 7f, head behind Thisismyturf carrying 126lbs at $5.50. The run before that won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Devonport Synthetic on September 9 over 6 ¾f defeating Knights Reign with 122lbs at $9. Right in contention with the help of the inside alley.

3rd Pick
8

Snowdonia

Jockey: Troy Baker

Trainer: Stuart Gandy

J: Troy Baker

T: Stuart Gandy

112---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Bm60 at this track on September 25 over 7f, head behind Thisismyturf carrying 126lbs at $5.50. The run before that won by 1.0 len in a Cl1 at Devonport Synthetic on September 9 over 6 ¾f defeating Knights Reign with 122lbs at $9. Right in contention with the help of the inside alley.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.