AU - Launceston - Race 1

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.1f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

MCVEIGH (3) is building up to a win, most recently finishing 2 lengths from the winner in second over 6f at this track. Has further upside and gets his chance to break through. TOO MUCH TOO SOON (9) is an eight-start former Victorian maiden having first run for a new yard. Could only manage to finish tenth after being in contention on the bend at her latest appearance over 5 ½f at Stony Creek. Best form stacks up though and this offers her a great chance of breaking through. AWESOME ORPHAN (6) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 5 ½f at this track, beaten 4 lengths into fourth. Hasn't been far away though and doesn't have to improve much to feature. ROYAL SCENE (4) has put together a string of fourths and likewise can feature with a little improvement. NINE CHOIRS (7) makes debut. Filly by Alpine Eagle from Sister Dee on debut. Fitter for a recent trial placing. Has the inside and is worth watching for a move.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Waltzing Matilda carrying 126lbs at $2.60. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Dubai Affair carrying 125lbs at $7. Made headway last time. Improving type expected to go close. 1st Pick 3 Mcveigh Jockey: Kelvin Sanderson Trainer: Adam Trinder J: Kelvin Sanderson T: Adam Trinder	161	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 6f, slow going 2 len behind Waltzing Matilda carrying 126lbs at $2.60. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Dubai Affair carrying 125lbs at $7. Made headway last time. Improving type expected to go close.
9	Comes off a 61 day let-up. Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading 10th of 12 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on February 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Aussie Adaptor carrying 126lbs at $15. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on February 1 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Point Moon carrying 126lbs at $11. Former Victorian having first run for new yard and best form stacks up. 2nd Pick 9 Too Much Too Soon Jockey: Liam Riordan Trainer: Matthew Brown J: Liam Riordan T: Matthew Brown	233	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes off a 61 day let-up. Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading 10th of 12 at Stony Creek Mdn-Sw on February 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Aussie Adaptor carrying 126lbs at $15. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Sale Mdn-Sw on February 1 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Point Moon carrying 126lbs at $11. Former Victorian having first run for new yard and best form stacks up.
6	At the latest run 4th in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 4 len behind The Real Man carrying 119lbs at $17. The start before that 6th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 6f, 3 len behind Dubai Affair with 119lbs at $21. Can improve again. Overdue and gets chance. 3rd Pick 6 Awesome Orphan Jockey: David Pires Trainer: Rowan Hamer J: David Pires T: Rowan Hamer	111	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run 4th in a small field at this track Mdn-Sw on April 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 4 len behind The Real Man carrying 119lbs at $17. The start before that 6th of 8 at this track Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 6f, 3 len behind Dubai Affair with 119lbs at $21. Can improve again. Overdue and gets chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.