AU - Kilcoy - Race 8

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

13.8K

VIEW

Verdict

AMORE SIRENA (8) was in the money two starts back at this track but couldn't back it up last time when sixth, beaten 4.5 lengths, at Dalby over 5f. Has her share of talent and will prove hard to beat in this suitable race. EXOSTOVA (6) missed the placings two starts back then ran a better race when he did his best work late and finished 3 lengths away in fourth last time out over 4f at Warwick. Taking on a better line-up this time but he cannot be taken lightly. RUSSIAN RIPPER (7) is a bit hit or miss but is more than capable enough on his day. In the mix on best figures. BOLD AS BRASS (2) only needs some luck navigating from the sticky draw to be playing a major role in the outcome.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Most recently 6th of 10 at Dalby 0 - 55 on June 18 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Calmer Karma with 123lbs at $7.50. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at this track 0 - 55 on May 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Embolden carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Expected to be in the finish. 1st Pick 8 Amore Sirena Jockey: Stacey Callow Trainer: Brett Baker J: Stacey Callow T: Brett Baker	126	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently 6th of 10 at Dalby 0 - 55 on June 18 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Calmer Karma with 123lbs at $7.50. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at this track 0 - 55 on May 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Embolden carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Expected to be in the finish.
6	At the latest run 4th of 11 at Warwick 0 - 55 on June 13 over 4f, in the wet, 3 len behind Missy's Ready carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Before that struggled in the run home, ran second last of 9 at Toowoomba 3yo Bm58 on May 30 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 13 len behind American Conquest carrying 129lbs at $11. Working up to a win. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 6 Exostova Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: Jimmy Downes J: Archie Mccolm T: Jimmy Downes	107	-	-	-	9%
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 11 at Warwick 0 - 55 on June 13 over 4f, in the wet, 3 len behind Missy's Ready carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Before that struggled in the run home, ran second last of 9 at Toowoomba 3yo Bm58 on May 30 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 13 len behind American Conquest carrying 129lbs at $11. Working up to a win. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat.
11	Comes here off a 52-day let-up. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 at Ipswich 0 - 60 on May 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Electric Arrow carrying 120lbs at $5. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Beaudesert F&M 0 - 60 on April 25 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Esprit Du Jour with 122lbs at $5. Can bounce back. 3rd Pick 11 Private Showtime Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: G Heinrich & B Rodgers J: Non Runner T: G Heinrich & B Rodgers	82	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Comes here off a 52-day let-up. Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 10 at Ipswich 0 - 60 on May 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Electric Arrow carrying 120lbs at $5. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Beaudesert F&M 0 - 60 on April 25 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Esprit Du Jour with 122lbs at $5. Can bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.