AU - Kempsey - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.2f

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 10

27.9K

VIEW

Verdict

JADE TREES (8) earns top billing after a strong BM66 third at the Beaumont, beaten just over a length, and the prior Class 3 win at Grafton adds further substance. Grady Spokes has an outstanding record on him and the weight relief strengthens the case. CREATIVE RIGHTEOUS (3) is the clear danger, having placed at Taree last start after a solid Quality run at Port Macquarie when beaten only two and a half lengths at big odds. His recent-season figures are the best in the race. KING OF DRAGONS (9) was below market expectations at Canberra, but the check at 5 ½f gives him a legitimate excuse and his Canterbury BM72 third reads well for this. BOLD HOI HO (6) must rebound from a heavy Eagle Farm defeat, yet he gets class relief, weight relief and has enough 7 ¼f substance to be dangerous if he finds his Port Macquarie form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Finished strongly for third in a BM66 at the Beaumont last start, beaten just over a length after being respected in betting. That followed a narrow Class 3 win at Grafton where he beat Amaya's Secret as favourite. Brings the best winning case. 1st Pick 8 Jade Trees Jockey: Grady Spokes Trainer: Brett Dodson J: Grady Spokes T: Brett Dodson	125	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Finished strongly for third in a BM66 at the Beaumont last start, beaten just over a length after being respected in betting. That followed a narrow Class 3 win at Grafton where he beat Amaya's Secret as favourite. Brings the best winning case.
3	Held third at Taree last start over 1m, beaten just over four lengths after travelling well behind the leaders but lacking the dash to match I'Ve Bean Tryin'. The Port Macquarie Quality run prior had merit, beaten two and a half lengths at 91-1 over 1 ¼m. Taree third was sound and the prior Quality run gives him a strong platform. 2nd Pick 3 Creative Righteous Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Peter Cheers J: Grant Buckley T: Peter Cheers	175	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Held third at Taree last start over 1m, beaten just over four lengths after travelling well behind the leaders but lacking the dash to match I'Ve Bean Tryin'. The Port Macquarie Quality run prior had merit, beaten two and a half lengths at 91-1 over 1 ¼m. Taree third was sound and the prior Quality run gives him a strong platform.
9	Forgive the Canberra failure to a point, as he was checked at the 5 ½f before weakening as a well-supported favourite. The run before that is the key guide: third in a BM72 at Canterbury, beaten a length by Fierceness after leading to the turn and just failing to hold on. Genuine each way contender. 3rd Pick 9 King Of Dragons Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: John Cooper J: Mikayla Weir T: John Cooper	86	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Forgive the Canberra failure to a point, as he was checked at the 5 ½f before weakening as a well-supported favourite. The run before that is the key guide: third in a BM72 at Canterbury, beaten a length by Fierceness after leading to the turn and just failing to hold on. Genuine each way contender.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

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A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.