AU - Kempsey - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

24.4K

VIEW

Verdict

HOME SIREN (8) is the horse to beat after resuming with a clear Class 1 win at Port Macquarie, scoring by just over three lengths as the odds-on favourite and taking her 5f record to two wins from two starts. Her earlier run in the Listed Woodlands Stakes gives her form line more depth than most of these, and she profiles as the runner with the most upside. DAMAS (1) is the main danger if the return to 5f brings a sharper finish, he was wide and keen when seventh at Eagle Farm, but his fifth in a Quality at Port Macquarie reads well for a BM66. A TOUCH FROM FAYT (9) has been racing consistently and was beaten just over a length at Port Macquarie, with barrier 1 giving her every chance to hold that form. SAVVYROCKER (7) has not won this season, but her two wins from two starts at this distance keep her in the minor-winning mix if she rebounds from recent sixths.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Resumed in excellent order at Port Macquarie, winning a Class 1 by just over three lengths as the odds-on favourite and doing it with authority after leading into the straight. That followed a respectable eighth in the Listed Woodlands Stakes, where she was beaten only three and a half lengths at big odds. Listed form adds depth, and she looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 8 Home Siren Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: Cassandra Schmidt J: Luke Rolls T: Cassandra Schmidt	166	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Resumed in excellent order at Port Macquarie, winning a Class 1 by just over three lengths as the odds-on favourite and doing it with authority after leading into the straight. That followed a respectable eighth in the Listed Woodlands Stakes, where she was beaten only three and a half lengths at big odds. Listed form adds depth, and she looks the one to beat.
1	Worked wide and raced keenly when seventh at Eagle Farm last start, beaten four and a half lengths in a mid-week race that looks stronger than this. The start prior was sound in a Quality at Port Macquarie when only a length and a half from Pride To Follow. Back to 5f with strong recent figures and rates a major threat. 2nd Pick 1 Damas Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Sally Taylor J: Non Runner T: Sally Taylor	132	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Worked wide and raced keenly when seventh at Eagle Farm last start, beaten four and a half lengths in a mid-week race that looks stronger than this. The start prior was sound in a Quality at Port Macquarie when only a length and a half from Pride To Follow. Back to 5f with strong recent figures and rates a major threat.
9	Went close at Port Mac last start, finishing second to Ex Wife and beaten just over a length after working into the race neatly. Her previous BM58 fifth at Lismore was also sound, only a length and a half away after sitting behind the leaders. Her 5f record is solid and she brings a reliable recent profile. 3rd Pick 9 A Touch From Fayt Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Trevor Whittington J: Courtney Bellamy T: Trevor Whittington	113	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Went close at Port Mac last start, finishing second to Ex Wife and beaten just over a length after working into the race neatly. Her previous BM58 fifth at Lismore was also sound, only a length and a half away after sitting behind the leaders. Her 5f record is solid and she brings a reliable recent profile.

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