AU - Kempsey - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

20.9K

VIEW

Verdict

UNDER TWENTY TWO (2) has the strongest current form, having gone under by just over half a length at Port Macquarie after a narrow third there when a well-supported favourite. He is proven around 6 ¼f and has already had the measure of Cool Az Aletta recently. Leading contender. FANCY SHOULDER (3) appeals as the main danger after a luckless fourth at Beaumont (Newcastle), where she was slow out and held up, following a long-neck second at Port Macquarie. COOL AZ ALETTA (9) has been costly from a win perspective but comes through Class 1 and Class 2 form, had a blocked run last time and rates strongly enough to be dangerous. FRANKELY SUBLIME (5) resumes off a Muswellbrook trial and owns one win and three placings from ten starts at this distance, though her last two runs before the break leave her with ground to make up.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Has returned in excellent order and looks ready to win again after two narrow Port Macquarie placings, most recently second to Chief Of Staff over 7 ½f when beaten just over half a length. He was also beaten only a head as favourite two back, and his record at this distance reads well with two wins and one placing from six starts. Brings the clearest current form and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Under Twenty Two Jockey: Daniel Smith Trainer: Neil Godbolt J: Daniel Smith T: Neil Godbolt	143	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Has returned in excellent order and looks ready to win again after two narrow Port Macquarie placings, most recently second to Chief Of Staff over 7 ½f when beaten just over half a length. He was also beaten only a head as favourite two back, and his record at this distance reads well with two wins and one placing from six starts. Brings the clearest current form and looks the one to beat.
3	Had genuine excuses when fourth at Beaumont (newcastle), beginning slowly before being held up near the 1 ¼f and still making ground to be beaten just over two lengths. That followed a long-neck second at Port Mac, where she led and was only caught late as favourite. Her 11 ¼f record is sound and barrier four should allow her to race much more efficiently. Drawn to race more cleanly and has a strong winning case. 2nd Pick 3 Fancy Shoulder Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Sally Taylor J: Courtney Bellamy T: Sally Taylor	120	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Had genuine excuses when fourth at Beaumont (newcastle), beginning slowly before being held up near the 1 ¼f and still making ground to be beaten just over two lengths. That followed a long-neck second at Port Mac, where she led and was only caught late as favourite. Her 11 ¼f record is sound and barrier four should allow her to race much more efficiently. Drawn to race more cleanly and has a strong winning case.
9	Had more merit than the margin suggests when fourth in a Class 1 at the Beaumont, making ground after difficulty getting clear around the home turn. Two back in a Class 2 at Taree he was hampered and raced wide, so the recent form is better than it reads. Still a distance-win query, but rates as a real threat. 3rd Pick 9 Cool Az Aletta Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Tony Ball J: Grant Buckley T: Tony Ball	102	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Had more merit than the margin suggests when fourth in a Class 1 at the Beaumont, making ground after difficulty getting clear around the home turn. Two back in a Class 2 at Taree he was hampered and raced wide, so the recent form is better than it reads. Still a distance-win query, but rates as a real threat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.