AU - Kempsey - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.2f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

34.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TRACKHAWK (3) makes his debut with the profile to take this out, being a $130,000 yearling purchase with four trials behind him and a pedigree page carrying genuine quality through Kristilli. The absence of race experience is the obvious unknown, but he looks well placed to make an immediate impact. SARMAT (2) brings the strongest exposed last-start form, closing from well back at Port Macquarie to miss by just under a length, and his prior failure had clear interference attached. FOLLOW THAT DREAM (10) was plain in a small field at Grafton last time, yet her previous second to Brass Band reads well enough for this and she stays in the mix if she sharpens back at 7 ¼f. BOBBIN BACK (9) has been starting at big odds but has closed off in both recent runs, including sixth at the Beaumont, and her broader distance ratings keep her in the winning conversation despite an 11-start maiden record.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Makes his debut with a profile that commands respect, having been a $130,000 yearling purchase and given four trials, including two seconds before a later Gold Coast trial. The family adds further substance, with Kristilli a Group 2 winner. Looks the one to beat first time out from the right draw. 1st Pick 3 Trackhawk Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jason Reilly J: Non Runner T: Jason Reilly	44	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Makes his debut with a profile that commands respect, having been a $130,000 yearling purchase and given four trials, including two seconds before a later Gold Coast trial. The family adds further substance, with Kristilli a Group 2 winner. Looks the one to beat first time out from the right draw.
2	Closed strongly from well back at Port Macquarie last start, finishing fourth to Bobbiwaa and beaten just under a length at generous odds. His 12th there the run prior reads better than it looks, as he jumped awkwardly and was checked near the home turn after starting favourite. Distance record is the knock, but he is a leading chance. 2nd Pick 2 Sarmat Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brett Dodson J: Non Runner T: Brett Dodson	141	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Closed strongly from well back at Port Macquarie last start, finishing fourth to Bobbiwaa and beaten just under a length at generous odds. His 12th there the run prior reads better than it looks, as he jumped awkwardly and was checked near the home turn after starting favourite. Distance record is the knock, but he is a leading chance.
10	Was only fair late when last of five at Grafton over 1 ¹/16m, beaten just over four lengths after looking ready to pounce on the turn. Her start prior was stronger, leading and being run down late when second to Brass Band over 1 ¹/16m. Blinkers come off and her best form puts her right in this. 3rd Pick 10 Follow That Dream Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jason Reilly J: Non Runner T: Jason Reilly	83	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Was only fair late when last of five at Grafton over 1 ¹/16m, beaten just over four lengths after looking ready to pounce on the turn. Her start prior was stronger, leading and being run down late when second to Brass Band over 1 ¹/16m. Blinkers come off and her best form puts her right in this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.