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3:25 AM

AU - Kempsey - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.2f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 10
20.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PRESTIGE FANTASTIC (1) comes up from Victoria and is now in the Tony Ball yard. Has genuine claims despite a plain Echuca run, with his Kyneton fifth giving him a better platform than the last-start margin suggests after he was held up passing the 1 ½f. He is rated strongly at 6 ¼f and strikes a maiden where that should carry weight. TORPEDO TUBE (11) brings the most recent placing of the main hopes, having been second to Rubinsky at Port Macquarie two starts ago before a fair seventh at Scone. He has the right profile to rebound if he can sharpen late. TAVERNA (10) has been well beaten at her past two, but barrier 1, a previous placing at this track and solid recent-form ratings keep her in the winning mix. IN AND AWAY (5) resumes off a Grafton run where he was beaten just under three lengths at long odds, and while his 15-start maiden record tempers confidence, he has enough exposed substance to be a genuine danger fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Prestige Fantastic silk

Comes through two Victorian runs that were mixed, with the Echuca eighth last start the obvious blemish after he settled rearward and made no impression when beaten over 12 lengths by Caledonian Summer. His Kyneton fifth was more useful, with a hold-up passing the 1 ½f against Tanabata. In a thin maiden, he gets his chance to win.

1st Pick
1

Prestige Fantastic

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Tony Ball

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Tony Ball

125---23%7/2

Analysis

Comes through two Victorian runs that were mixed, with the Echuca eighth last start the obvious blemish after he settled rearward and made no impression when beaten over 12 lengths by Caledonian Summer. His Kyneton fifth was more useful, with a hold-up passing the 1 ½f against Tanabata. In a thin maiden, he gets his chance to win.

11
Torpedo Tube silk

Had no clear excuse when seventh at Scone last start, beaten just over five lengths by The Autumn Wind after settling back and failing to finish off. The better reference is his Port Mac second two back, beaten just under a length by Rubinsky at big odds after being bumped at the start. Last start was plain, but he can bounce back.

2nd Pick
11

Torpedo Tube

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Andrew Macdonald

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Andrew Macdonald

186---29%5/2

Analysis

Had no clear excuse when seventh at Scone last start, beaten just over five lengths by The Autumn Wind after settling back and failing to finish off. The better reference is his Port Mac second two back, beaten just under a length by Rubinsky at big odds after being bumped at the start. Last start was plain, but he can bounce back.

10
Taverna silk

Draws barrier 1 and has a previous placing from her only start at this track, which gives her a better set-up than recent figures suggest. She was slow away and beaten nine and a half lengths at Port Macquarie last start, after another 11th there when suffering interference on the home turn. Better set-up makes her a real chance.

3rd Pick
10

Taverna

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Hilary Dew

J: Non Runner

T: Hilary Dew

96---2%80/1

Analysis

Draws barrier 1 and has a previous placing from her only start at this track, which gives her a better set-up than recent figures suggest. She was slow away and beaten nine and a half lengths at Port Macquarie last start, after another 11th there when suffering interference on the home turn. Better set-up makes her a real chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

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Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

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The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.