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2:50 AM

AU - Kempsey - Race 2

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
9.4f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
20.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BRILLIANT KNIGHT (3) has the right profile second-up after resuming with a Class 3 third at Port Macquarie, where he was favourite, slow to begin and still only beaten two and a half lengths. His broader record is reliable, Luke Rolls has two wins and two places from five rides on him, and the weight relief gives him the strongest overall case. PRINCE IS GAME (6) is the obvious danger after back-to-back wins, first in a BM58 at Port Macquarie and then in a BM66 at Taree despite being checked near the 3 ½f. The BM74 rise asks more, but his 1 ³/16m record is solid. ZOU BIG BOY (5) comes through BM58 form with recent market respect, weight relief and a quick back-up in his favour, though this is harder. HE'S A COPY BOY (2) drops from Open company and has the 7lbs claim, with his closing BM66 fifth two starts back keeping him in the place mix despite the 1 ³/16m query.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Brilliant Knight silk

Resumed with a sound third in Class 3 company at Port Macquarie, beaten two and a half lengths after being slow to begin and racing keenly as favourite. He had also placed in Open grade at Coffs two starts back, so the form has substance. Luke Rolls' record aboard him makes the case strong.

1st Pick
3

Brilliant Knight

Jockey: Luke Rolls

Trainer: Cassandra Schmidt

J: Luke Rolls

T: Cassandra Schmidt

147---35%15/8

Analysis

Resumed with a sound third in Class 3 company at Port Macquarie, beaten two and a half lengths after being slow to begin and racing keenly as favourite. He had also placed in Open grade at Coffs two starts back, so the form has substance. Luke Rolls' record aboard him makes the case strong.

6
Prince Is Game silk

Arrives in winning form after taking a BM66 at Taree by half a length as favourite, picking up sharply despite being checked near the 3 ½f. That backed up his BM58 win at Port Macquarie, where he beat Purple Kitty by just over two lengths at generous odds. Class rise is the only real caution in the small field.

2nd Pick
6

Prince Is Game

Jockey: Ben Looker

Trainer: Matthew Robinson

J: Ben Looker

T: Matthew Robinson

136---31%9/4

Analysis

Arrives in winning form after taking a BM66 at Taree by half a length as favourite, picking up sharply despite being checked near the 3 ½f. That backed up his BM58 win at Port Macquarie, where he beat Purple Kitty by just over two lengths at generous odds. Class rise is the only real caution in the small field.

5
Zou Big Boy silk

Backs up quickly after a Moree BM58 fifth, beaten three lengths, with a late bump adding some context to the run. He was better at Tamworth the start prior, leading and just being run down when fourth, beaten just under a length as favourite. Class rise caps the winning case, but place claims are genuine.

3rd Pick
5

Zou Big Boy

Jockey: Peter Graham

Trainer: Lea Selby

J: Peter Graham

T: Lea Selby

142---16%11/2

Analysis

Backs up quickly after a Moree BM58 fifth, beaten three lengths, with a late bump adding some context to the run. He was better at Tamworth the start prior, leading and just being run down when fourth, beaten just under a length as favourite. Class rise caps the winning case, but place claims are genuine.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.