AU - Kembla Grange - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

30.1K

VIEW

Verdict

COULTER (5) seeks the hat-trick off heavily-bet wins here and at Wyong over a mile following. Leaver has an awkward gate to manage today, but the colt is on an upward spiral and can deliver the hat-trick with average luck. PAPPA BLUE (8) draws one gate outside the above but also has the talent to take this out. Won here this grade comfortably over 7f and then found the Group 3 Carbine Club stakes at Randwick a bit of a stretch. Just needs a good ride to threaten. INSPIRED LEGEND (11) is proven second-up and the longer journey suits. Has more to give with plenty of scope for improvement. Will get every chance from the handy barrier. WILD THOUGHTS (7) has been racing in stronger and was only beaten 1L from the back at Rosehill the start before last. Improved his numbers at Newcastle after and has the inside gate and 7lbs claim. Keep well onside. AUDENZIA (2) finished ahead on the above at Newcastle and missed a whisker here prior. In the mix as well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Dual acceptor. Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Wyong Bm64 April 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Brazil carrying 129lbs at $3.20. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by a head at this track Cg&E Mdn-Sw March 21 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Ol' Mate Coop with 129lbs at $1.80. Can go on with the job. 1st Pick 5 Coulter Jockey: Chad Lever Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Chad Lever T: Bjorn Baker	155	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by a head at Wyong Bm64 April 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Brazil carrying 129lbs at $3.20. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by a head at this track Cg&E Mdn-Sw March 21 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Ol' Mate Coop with 129lbs at $1.80. Can go on with the job.
8	At the latest run 10th of 12 at Randwick in the G3 Carbine on April 4 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Autumn Break with 123lbs at $21. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm64 March 13 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Change My Address carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Big chance to bounce. 2nd Pick 8 Pappa Blue Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	125	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 10th of 12 at Randwick in the G3 Carbine on April 4 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Autumn Break with 123lbs at $21. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at this track Bm64 March 13 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Change My Address carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Big chance to bounce.
11	Second run back. First-up after four months raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Wyong Cl1 on April 4 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Easiest Choice with 129lbs at $10. Previously second-up settled well back, won by a nose at this track Mid Mdn October 25 over 1m defeating Pretty Please carrying 123lbs at $2.60. Shaping up nicely and can measure up in this line up. 3rd Pick 11 Inspired Legend Jockey: Rory Hutchings Trainer: Les Bridge J: Rory Hutchings T: Les Bridge	87	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Wyong Cl1 on April 4 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Easiest Choice with 129lbs at $10. Previously second-up settled well back, won by a nose at this track Mid Mdn October 25 over 1m defeating Pretty Please carrying 123lbs at $2.60. Shaping up nicely and can measure up in this line up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.