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5:34 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 7

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
38.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WEST HEAD (4) was close-up in all three runs last campaign and resumed in good style after two trials. Ready to win. STRASSMAN (3) cops a raw draw but comes through two genuine races into this. Go close with the blinkers off. HABERFIELD (8) is an improving filly who tackles a suitable trip second up. Handily drawn and should hold her own. SWAG (13) was runner-up to a subsequent winner last start and snags a soft alley. Can aim up. RHEGION (2) has been close up in both starts over shorter trips. Senior rider and a soft draw say yes.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
West Head silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 14 at this track Prov Mdn on April 19 over 6 ½f, long-neck behind Miss Hvar with 130lbs at $1.75. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Wyong Mdn on December 11 over 6 ¾f, 0.5 len behind Swift Gun with 127lbs at $1.80. Looks hard to beat.

1st Pick
4

West Head

Jockey: Grant Buckley

Trainer: Brad Widdup

J: Grant Buckley

T: Brad Widdup

115---27%11/4

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 3rd of 14 at this track Prov Mdn on April 19 over 6 ½f, long-neck behind Miss Hvar with 130lbs at $1.75. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Wyong Mdn on December 11 over 6 ¾f, 0.5 len behind Swift Gun with 127lbs at $1.80. Looks hard to beat.

3
Strassman silk

Third-up today. First-up struggled in the run home, 5th of 12 at this track Prov Mdn-Sw on April 15 over 6f, 6 len behind Oui Oui Oui with 122lbs at $12. Second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at this track Prov Mdn on May 6 over 6 ½f, in the wet, long-neck behind Egypitian's Reward carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Capable of a better showing. Right in the mix again.

2nd Pick
3

Strassman

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Mitchell Beer

J: Non Runner

T: Mitchell Beer

105---6%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up struggled in the run home, 5th of 12 at this track Prov Mdn-Sw on April 15 over 6f, 6 len behind Oui Oui Oui with 122lbs at $12. Second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at this track Prov Mdn on May 6 over 6 ½f, in the wet, long-neck behind Egypitian's Reward carrying 130lbs at $8.50. Capable of a better showing. Right in the mix again.

8
Haberfield silk

Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 8 at Newcastle F&M Mdn-Sw on May 3 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 6 len behind Lunaite with 128lbs at $13. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 1m, in the wet, 5 len behind Star Pastures carrying 122lbs at $5.50. Shaping up nicely and is one of the chances.

3rd Pick
8

Haberfield

Jockey: Louise Day

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Louise Day

T: Matthew Smith

99---10%10/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months 3rd of 8 at Newcastle F&M Mdn-Sw on May 3 over 6 ¼f, on a wet track, 6 len behind Lunaite with 128lbs at $13. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 1m, in the wet, 5 len behind Star Pastures carrying 122lbs at $5.50. Shaping up nicely and is one of the chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.