AU - Kembla Grange - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

9.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

103.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HURSTVILLE ZAGREB (1) had to work hard from the awkward draw when up in trip and grade for a tiring fourth over 1 ?m at Rosehill. Can take control here from the inside gate and no excuses fourth-up. LET'S FLY (7) best showing this time in when out to her preferred trip for a fighting nose second over 1 ?m at Rosehill. Two of her three wins have come at this course and the booking of Braith Nock is a positive. Among the leading chances. OCEANFRONT (2) undefeated in three starts this campaign and shapes as a worthy contender in this stronger race. Rounded them up effortlessly over 1 ?m at Randwick last time. Can tag the speed and looks great each way value. BRAVE CALL (8) had mixed luck in three starts back and the blinkers go on for this in an attempt to sharpen him up. Berry stays aboard and look for him late. NATOYA (12) progressive mare deep into her prep and ready for this trip. Blinkers come off and no shock to see her take this out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Rosehill Bm78 on November 8 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Luskaire carrying 129lbs at $2.40. The race before that favourite, won by 3.5 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 October 22 over 1m defeating Full Hao with 131lbs at $3. Nice stayer fitter now from the low draw. 1st Pick 1 Hurstville Zagreb Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	159	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Rosehill Bm78 on November 8 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Luskaire carrying 129lbs at $2.40. The race before that favourite, won by 3.5 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 October 22 over 1m defeating Full Hao with 131lbs at $3. Nice stayer fitter now from the low draw.
7	At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Rosehill Bm72 on November 12 over 1m, nose behind Agita carrying 130lbs at $8.50. The start before that 13th of 18 at Randwick Four Pillars on November 1 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Sonofdec carrying 133lbs at $26. Returned to form last start and can go on with it here. 2nd Pick 7 Let's Fly Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Braith Nock T: Richard & Will Freedman	130	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Rosehill Bm72 on November 12 over 1m, nose behind Agita carrying 130lbs at $8.50. The start before that 13th of 18 at Randwick Four Pillars on November 1 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Sonofdec carrying 133lbs at $26. Returned to form last start and can go on with it here.
2	On a three run winning streak. Last start came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Randwick Midway Bm72 November 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Natoya carrying 130lbs at $9.50. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Newcastle Bm72 October 18 over 1m in soft going defeating Black Run carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Flying at the moment and ready for this tougher contest. 3rd Pick 2 Oceanfront Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Dylan Gibbons T: Nacim Dilmi	141	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis On a three run winning streak. Last start came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Randwick Midway Bm72 November 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Natoya carrying 130lbs at $9.50. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Newcastle Bm72 October 18 over 1m in soft going defeating Black Run carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Flying at the moment and ready for this tougher contest.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race