AU - Kembla Grange - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 6

29.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive race with plenty of chances. LIGHTHOUSE LASS (8) was well fancied on resumption for the new yard with a fast finishing second over 5 ½f at Gosford. Comes out of a solid rating contest and can go one better with Lloyd retaining the ride. THE NEW SINATRA (2) is close to a win and gets the right run fourth-up. Just under seven weeks between runs with a tough second over 6f at this track. Shapes as a genuine top-three prospect. VIDIA (10) got off the mark at her first run back with a slick on-pace win over 5 ¾f at Beaumont (Newcastle). Doesn't get the same map favours today but stays in the mix. VIVIAN'S EXPRESS (5) talented filly who was no match for Ninja three starts back at Eagle Farm. Indicated she was near her best with a handy third over 6 ½f at Hawkesbury in stronger company. Well drawn and sure to be thereabouts. The chances don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 on February 5 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Mercy Me carrying 129lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up second last of 8 at Warwick Farm 3yo Bm64 on September 3 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Cantiamo with 122lbs at $81. Finds a winnable race second-up. 1st Pick 8 Lighthouse Lass Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Non Runner T: Richard & Will Freedman	129	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 8 at Gosford F&M Bm64 on February 5 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Mercy Me carrying 129lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up second last of 8 at Warwick Farm 3yo Bm64 on September 3 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Cantiamo with 122lbs at $81. Finds a winnable race second-up.
2	At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track 5yo+ Bm64 on February 17 over 6f, head behind Starinion with 128lbs at $12. The start before that 6th of 8 at Gosford Prov Cl1 on December 31 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Brightburn with 130lbs at $21. Solid winning chance fourth-up. 2nd Pick 2 The New Sinatra Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Marc Chevalier J: Non Runner T: Marc Chevalier	125	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track 5yo+ Bm64 on February 17 over 6f, head behind Starinion with 128lbs at $12. The start before that 6th of 8 at Gosford Prov Cl1 on December 31 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Brightburn with 130lbs at $21. Solid winning chance fourth-up.
10	Second run back. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.1 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Mdn-Sw February 16 over 5 ¾f defeating River Jordan with 125lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Artistic Venture with 122lbs at $41. Dominant return and can go on with it here. 3rd Pick 10 Vidia Jockey: Andrew Adkins Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Andrew Adkins T: Michael Freedman	122	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.1 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Mdn-Sw February 16 over 5 ¾f defeating River Jordan with 125lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on August 30 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Artistic Venture with 122lbs at $41. Dominant return and can go on with it here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

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Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.