AU - Kembla Grange - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

30.4K

VIEW

Verdict

TEMPTATION (8) broke through for her maiden win over 5 ½f at Gosford last time, scoring comfortably. Sparingly raced and has more to offer. YOU'RE THE CHOICE (4) has been thereabouts recently, the latest result a fifth beaten 1.75 lengths at Canterbury over 6 ¼f. Will appreciate a drop in grade. Among the leading chances in this company. UNCERTAIN GLORY (3) returned from a break with a solid fourth, winding up late at the end of 5 ½f at Warwick Farm after settling well back. Will appreciate the extra ½f and can burst through late. HEY JUDE (5) is back at the races for the first time since March 21. Scored over 6f at Nowra at the start of last prep. Looks a strong top-three prospect. TIGLETTA (6) returns and will be hoping to pick back up from where she left off last campaign. Two lead-up trials should have her forward enough to be very competitive.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd in a small field in a Super Mdn at Gosford on August 6 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Count Du Money carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Second-up favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Gosford on August 28 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Esnaad with 122lbs at $1.50. Can build on that bright start to her career. 1st Pick 8 Temptation Jockey: Sam Clipperton Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Sam Clipperton T: Bjorn Baker	142	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd in a small field in a Super Mdn at Gosford on August 6 over 5 ½f, 0.5 len behind Count Du Money carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Second-up favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win in a F&M Mdn-Sw at Gosford on August 28 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Esnaad with 122lbs at $1.50. Can build on that bright start to her career.
4	At the latest run 5th of 9 in a F&M Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Jenni The Jet carrying 122lbs at $5.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 in a F&M Bm64 at Gosford on August 6 over 6f, head behind Grinzinger Pod with 130lbs at $2. Better than that and is a leading player. 2nd Pick 4 You're The Choice Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Christian Reith T: Brad Widdup	139	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 9 in a F&M Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Jenni The Jet carrying 122lbs at $5.50. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 in a F&M Bm64 at Gosford on August 6 over 6f, head behind Grinzinger Pod with 130lbs at $2. Better than that and is a leading player.
3	Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 9 in a F&M Bm72 at Warwick Farm on August 19 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Cool Waters carrying 121lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Randwick on May 23 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Friendly Fire carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Plenty of improvement to come. 3rd Pick 3 Uncertain Glory Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Keagan Latham T: Michael Freedman	149	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 9 in a F&M Bm72 at Warwick Farm on August 19 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Cool Waters carrying 121lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 in a 2yo Hcp at Randwick on May 23 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Friendly Fire carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Plenty of improvement to come.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.