AU - Kembla Grange - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

103.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

JELLICIOUS (2) snagged back from the wide draw and never in the contest when a plugging sixth over 6 ½f at Randwick in this class. Gets the right set-up here and can tag the good tempo. WEEPING WOMAN (1) heavily supported into favouritism on resumption when raced handy for a dominant win over 5 ½f at Rosehill. Goes equally as well second-up but will have to do a bit of work early to get across. Sure to be thereabouts. SPIRIT OF WEALTH (7) slow into stride from the sticky draw and charged late when taking ground off Weeping Woman. Strips fitter and worth noting Berry hops off to ride Jellicious. Stays in the mix. MADRINA (5) racing in good order in easier company and brings a solid set of figures here. Blinkers go on and shapes a value chance. AMREEKIYAH (8) never comfortable on the rain affected tracks in stronger grade last preparation. Fitted with the one trial and undefeated first-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 9 at Randwick F&M Bm78 on November 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bravissima with 129lbs at $3.20. The start before that came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 October 15 over 5 ½f defeating Dear Jewel carrying 130lbs at $2.80. Terrific chance to return to form. 1st Pick 2 Jellicious Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Chris Waller J: Tommy Berry T: Chris Waller	135	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 9 at Randwick F&M Bm78 on November 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bravissima with 129lbs at $3.20. The start before that came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 October 15 over 5 ½f defeating Dear Jewel carrying 130lbs at $2.80. Terrific chance to return to form.
1	Second run back. First-up after four months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.2 len at Rosehill F&M Bm78 November 8 over 5 ½f defeating Spirit Of Wealth carrying 129lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on June 14 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, neck behind Sacred Rocks with 128lbs at $3.60. Excellent return but doesn't get the same set-up today, each way. 2nd Pick 1 Weeping Woman Jockey: Nash Rawiller Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Nash Rawiller T: Joseph Pride	216	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.2 len at Rosehill F&M Bm78 November 8 over 5 ½f defeating Spirit Of Wealth carrying 129lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on June 14 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, neck behind Sacred Rocks with 128lbs at $3.60. Excellent return but doesn't get the same set-up today, each way.
7	Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on November 8 over 5 ½f, 1.2 len behind Weeping Woman carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The start before that won by 2.5 len at Hawkesbury F&M Bm64 October 23 over 5 ½f defeating All Too Wild carrying 134lbs at $1.70. Will not find this easy. Fitter now and can return to winning form. 3rd Pick 7 Spirit Of Wealth Jockey: Josh Parr Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Josh Parr T: Michael Freedman	137	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on November 8 over 5 ½f, 1.2 len behind Weeping Woman carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The start before that won by 2.5 len at Hawkesbury F&M Bm64 October 23 over 5 ½f defeating All Too Wild carrying 134lbs at $1.70. Will not find this easy. Fitter now and can return to winning form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race