AU - Kembla Grange - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

32.5K

VIEW

Verdict

PERCHANCE (7) is high on confidence after scoring at Moruya last time out. Will appreciate the drop in the weights. Stick with her. ANTHROPOID (1) produced a good effort when third last start over this trip at Warwick Farm, beaten 1.1 lengths after he made late ground. That followed a win at Wyong the start prior. Ideally placed and can make amends. DUCK FOR COVER (2) was good when resuming here but was a touch less effective last start when sent out favourite. Rise in trip suits third-up and he can give a bold sight. GREEN WINTER (5) launched his career with a win then couldn't follow that up last time out when fifth over 1m at Newcastle. Worth plenty of thought back to this level. BROADWAY STREET (3) just missed the bob when resuming, then got too far back here last time but was finishing strong. Fitter and gets the blinkers applied. Can give this a shake.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len in a Mdn-Sw at Moruya on August 28 over 6 ½f defeating Cold Mist with 126lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a Mdn at Nowra on April 5 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Stellar Rhonda with 125lbs at $4.60. Strips fitter and is likely to feature. 1st Pick 7 Perchance Jockey: Donovan Dillon Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Donovan Dillon T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	108	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len in a Mdn-Sw at Moruya on August 28 over 6 ½f defeating Cold Mist with 126lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 in a Mdn at Nowra on April 5 over 7f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Stellar Rhonda with 125lbs at $4.60. Strips fitter and is likely to feature.
1	Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Sociable with 120lbs at $8.50. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 5.5 len in a Prov Mdn-Sw at Wyong on August 16 over 6 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Classic Two with 125lbs at $1.30. Racing well at the moment and could be hard to beat. 2nd Pick 1 Anthropoid Jockey: Christian Reith Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Christian Reith T: Brad Widdup	207	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Sociable with 120lbs at $8.50. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 5.5 len in a Prov Mdn-Sw at Wyong on August 16 over 6 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Classic Two with 125lbs at $1.30. Racing well at the moment and could be hard to beat.
2	Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Prov Bm64 at this track on August 15 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Me Me carrying 129lbs at $5. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 in a Prov Cl1 at this track on August 29 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Rhythm Of The Rein with 129lbs at $2.80. Capable of a better showing. Big chance to return to the winner's list. 3rd Pick 2 Duck For Cover Jockey: Robyn Freeman Trainer: Anthony Mountney J: Robyn Freeman T: Anthony Mountney	107	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Prov Bm64 at this track on August 15 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Me Me carrying 129lbs at $5. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 in a Prov Cl1 at this track on August 29 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Rhythm Of The Rein with 129lbs at $2.80. Capable of a better showing. Big chance to return to the winner's list.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.