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3:55 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 3

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
9.9f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
30.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DANCE WITH DESTINY (4) progressing well after finishing sixth in the G1 ATC Oaks three starts back. Three weeks between runs when she loomed strongly to finish a gritty second over 1 ?m at Newcastle. Blinkers come off and expected to shed her Maiden tag. THINK I WILL (7) fourth-up for this and will benefit with the blinkers going on today. Came out quickly and was a spent force in the straight when fifth over 1 ?m at Newcastle. Finds an easier race and caught the eye here two-back. JADE SUNSET (2) showed a ton of grit when she jumped in trip for a game third over 1 ?m at Newcastle. Adept in all conditions and doesn't need to improve much to win this. TIME FOR SNOW (3) finished runner-up at all five runs this time in and stays in the mix after finishing second over 1 ³/16m at Canberra Acton in C1 grade. Each way contender.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Dance With Destiny silk

Most recently 2nd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on May 23 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Spacetime Legend carrying 121lbs at $2.80. The start before that 5th of 10 at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on May 2 over 1 ³/16m, 1.5 len behind Canjustify with 123lbs at $2.15. Heading the right way and gets her chance to get off the mark.

1st Pick
4

Dance With Destiny

Jockey: Dylan Gibbons

Trainer: John Sargent

J: Dylan Gibbons

T: John Sargent

168---45%5/4

Analysis

Most recently 2nd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on May 23 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Spacetime Legend carrying 121lbs at $2.80. The start before that 5th of 10 at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on May 2 over 1 ³/16m, 1.5 len behind Canjustify with 123lbs at $2.15. Heading the right way and gets her chance to get off the mark.

7
Think I Will silk

At the latest run led to the turn then faded 5th of 10 at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on May 19 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Decalogue with 128lbs at $17. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on May 9 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Salt Spray carrying 130lbs at $6.50. On-pacer who will take catching with the blinkers going on.

2nd Pick
7

Think I Will

Jockey: Rachel King

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Rachel King

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

117---34%2/1

Analysis

At the latest run led to the turn then faded 5th of 10 at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on May 19 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Decalogue with 128lbs at $17. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on May 9 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Salt Spray carrying 130lbs at $6.50. On-pacer who will take catching with the blinkers going on.

2
Jade Sunset silk

Last start 3rd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on May 23 over 1m, on heavy track, 1.2 len behind Spacetime Legend carrying 122lbs at $4.80. The run before that 5th of 10 at Hawkesbury Cl1-Sw on May 14 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Valentiago carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Key runner on the quick back-up.

3rd Pick
2

Jade Sunset

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tracey Bartley

J: Non Runner

T: Tracey Bartley

145---1%1000/1

Analysis

Last start 3rd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on May 23 over 1m, on heavy track, 1.2 len behind Spacetime Legend carrying 122lbs at $4.80. The run before that 5th of 10 at Hawkesbury Cl1-Sw on May 14 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Valentiago carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Key runner on the quick back-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.