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2:49 AM

AU - Kembla Grange - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
31.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROULADEN (3) has raced on the pace then battled on well to finish runner-up in his two runs this prep, the latest over 1m at Gosford. Rock hard fit and the blinkers going on for the first time could be the game changer. ALGORITHMIC (1) missed by a whisker when he attempted to lead all the way first-up at Newcastle. Raced handy again last start but lacked the change of gears required over 6 ¼f at Newcastle. Suited by the step up in distance today. Should be prominent for a long way. RIDGEBACK (5) ran a cheeky race first-up over the mile here then failed badly when extended to 1 ³/16m at the Canberra Acton most recently. Can bounce back in this more suitable contest. LEON RUBEN (10) has been disappointing but gets some weight relief today. Could surprise on a nine-day turnaround. MANDY CANRUN (6) steps up to provincial company for the first time after a couple of nice runs on the south coast. One for the exotics.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Rouladen silk

Third-up today. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Nowra Mdn on June 15 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.0 len behind Arizona Loner carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at Gosford Super Mdn-Sw on July 9 over 1m, on heavy track, 2 len behind Mr Bohemian carrying 130lbs at $3. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.

1st Pick
3

Rouladen

Jockey: Lee Magorrian

Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

J: Lee Magorrian

T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

120---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Nowra Mdn on June 15 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.0 len behind Arizona Loner carrying 129lbs at $6.50. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at Gosford Super Mdn-Sw on July 9 over 1m, on heavy track, 2 len behind Mr Bohemian carrying 130lbs at $3. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.

1
Algorithmic silk

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field at Newcastle Prov 3yo+ Mdn on June 27 over 6f, on heavy track, nose behind Poshy's Girl carrying 129lbs at $2.10. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Newcastle 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw on July 14 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2.75 len behind Tellurium with 130lbs at $3.30. Scratched from Race 1 to be kept for this - major contender.

2nd Pick
1

Algorithmic

Jockey: Keagan Latham

Trainer: Nikki Hodgson

J: Keagan Latham

T: Nikki Hodgson

155---40%6/4

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field at Newcastle Prov 3yo+ Mdn on June 27 over 6f, on heavy track, nose behind Poshy's Girl carrying 129lbs at $2.10. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Newcastle 3yo+ Cg&E Mdn-Sw on July 14 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2.75 len behind Tellurium with 130lbs at $3.30. Scratched from Race 1 to be kept for this - major contender.

5
Ridgeback silk

Third-up today. Resuming did the work up front then tired 7th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Corpulent carrying 123lbs at $15. Second run from a spell raced behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 12 at Canberra Acton Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ³/16m, 11 len behind Prophet's Promise carrying 121lbs at $16. Worth another chance coming back to a more suitable distance.

3rd Pick
5

Ridgeback

Jockey: Mitchell Bell

Trainer: Edward O'rourke

J: Mitchell Bell

T: Edward O'rourke

143---7%14/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming did the work up front then tired 7th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Corpulent carrying 123lbs at $15. Second run from a spell raced behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 12 at Canberra Acton Cl1-Sw on July 8 over 1 ³/16m, 11 len behind Prophet's Promise carrying 121lbs at $16. Worth another chance coming back to a more suitable distance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.