AU - Kembla Grange - Race 2

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Class 3

Turf

GOOD 4

77.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

BON HOLLER (11) improving mare who ticks plenty of boxes today with the sharp weight drop. Just under a month between runs when jumped in trip for a plugging fourth over 7f at Albury. Will roll forward and play a leading role. WRITE YOUR OWN (10) finally drawn a decent gate after being snagged back at his last two runs in town from awkward gates. Tommy Berry keeps the ride, and his best form is over this distance. Look for him charging late. TOMMY FLYER (6) big jump in grade and deserves his shot at this level. Shouldered the 136lbs for a commanding on-pace win over this trip at the Sapphire Coast. Massive drop in weight with the claim and will take catching. ASSOCIATE (1) just under a month between runs second-up when a plugging eighth over this trip at Randwick. Will appreciate the weight drop and can return to form. BUENOS (18) lightly raced mare heading in the right direction. Key jockey change and at her top for this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Albury Cl3 on October 11 over 5f, nose behind Divazou carrying 125lbs at $1.75. Second run from a spell 4th of 7 at Albury Cl2 on November 7 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Autumn Break with 129lbs at $2.70. Improving mare who maps well for this. 1st Pick 11 Bon Holler Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Donna Scott J: Rachel King T: Donna Scott	132	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Albury Cl3 on October 11 over 5f, nose behind Divazou carrying 125lbs at $1.75. Second run from a spell 4th of 7 at Albury Cl2 on November 7 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Autumn Break with 129lbs at $2.70. Improving mare who maps well for this.
10	Most recently 8th of 13 at Randwick Highway-C3 on October 25 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Southern Dancer with 125lbs at $7. The start before that 6th of 14 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on October 11 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Adolphus carrying 122lbs at $14. Rates highly on best form and can feature in this suitable contest. 2nd Pick 10 Write Your Own Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Matthew Dale J: Tommy Berry T: Matthew Dale	142	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently 8th of 13 at Randwick Highway-C3 on October 25 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Southern Dancer with 125lbs at $7. The start before that 6th of 14 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on October 11 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind Adolphus carrying 122lbs at $14. Rates highly on best form and can feature in this suitable contest.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 2.25 len at Queanbeyan Cl1 October 12 over 6f defeating Blue Bayou carrying 128lbs at $2.05. Second-up favourite, won by 0.6 len at Sapphire Coast Ctry Bm58 October 30 over 7f defeating Azzucca with 136lbs at $3.30. Rates highly. Deserves his chance in this tougher contest with the claim. 3rd Pick 6 Tommy Flyer Jockey: Coriah Keatings Trainer: Nick Olive J: Coriah Keatings T: Nick Olive	137	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 2.25 len at Queanbeyan Cl1 October 12 over 6f defeating Blue Bayou carrying 128lbs at $2.05. Second-up favourite, won by 0.6 len at Sapphire Coast Ctry Bm58 October 30 over 7f defeating Azzucca with 136lbs at $3.30. Rates highly. Deserves his chance in this tougher contest with the claim.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.