AU - Kembla Grange - Race 1

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

77.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CALLISTEMON (8) underrated mare resuming with solid fresh figures. Raced with distinction in this grade last time in and since fitted with a searching 5 ¾f trial placing at Kembla. Can sit off the fast tempo and pounce late. BROADWAY BOUNCER (3) at his top for this and sharp improvement is expected after disappointing last Saturday when ninth over 1m at Newcastle in this class. Assess on his eye-catching run when fifth in the Four Pillars two-back. ALL MACHIAVELLIAN (16) faded late with the 128lbs when sixth over the mile here in weaker company. Well placed over this trip and will give them something to catch on the limit. Each way. ROLLING MAGIC (1) progressive gelding who will keep improving as he gets out in trip. Will go back from the gate and be ridden for luck. BOJANGLES (17) hard fit and well placed in this easier contest. Outclassed when seven over 6 ½f at Newcastle last Saturday in BM94 grade. No excuses with the claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Resuming. Finished off last campaign eighth of 14 at Randwick Midway Bm72 July 26 over 1m, soft track, 8 len behind Glad You Think So carrying 123lbs at $4.60. Previously first up, third of 7 at this track Bm64 May 10 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind She Conquers carrying 128lbs at $6. Smart mare capable of sprinting well fresh. 1st Pick 8 Callistemon Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Kerry Parker J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Kerry Parker	58	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign eighth of 14 at Randwick Midway Bm72 July 26 over 1m, soft track, 8 len behind Glad You Think So carrying 123lbs at $4.60. Previously first up, third of 7 at this track Bm64 May 10 over 6f, soft track, 2 len behind She Conquers carrying 128lbs at $6. Smart mare capable of sprinting well fresh.
3	Most recently 9th of 11 at Newcastle Midway Bm72 on November 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Djapana carrying 131lbs at $8. Before that 5th of 18 at Randwick Four Pillars on November 1 over 7 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Sonofdec carrying 137lbs at $18. Well weighted with the claim on the quick backup. 2nd Pick 3 Broadway Bouncer Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Kristen Buchanan J: Anna Roper T: Kristen Buchanan	103	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Most recently 9th of 11 at Newcastle Midway Bm72 on November 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Djapana carrying 131lbs at $8. Before that 5th of 18 at Randwick Four Pillars on November 1 over 7 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Sonofdec carrying 137lbs at $18. Well weighted with the claim on the quick backup.
16	At the latest run 6th of 10 at this track Prov Bm64 on November 4 over 1m, 3 len behind Tom Cruising with 128lbs at $5.50. Before that 2nd of 8 at this track Prov Bm64 on October 25 over 7 ½f, 0.8 len behind Tom Cruising with 128lbs at $4.20. In peak condition and maps well. 3rd Pick 16 All Machiavellian Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Alysha Collett T: Robert & Luke Price	129	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 10 at this track Prov Bm64 on November 4 over 1m, 3 len behind Tom Cruising with 128lbs at $5.50. Before that 2nd of 8 at this track Prov Bm64 on October 25 over 7 ½f, 0.8 len behind Tom Cruising with 128lbs at $4.20. In peak condition and maps well.

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