AU - Ipswich - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

20.1K

VIEW

Verdict

SCRUMPTIOUS (12) switched from a top Sydney stable and didn't do a bad job at Doomben, well-supported off a 28-day freshen. Her Sydney metro form prior makes good reading, and Ben Thompson sticks aboard. She will jump and run from an inside barrier and has the numbers to win. MATAWAI (6) resumes and has switched from a leading Victorian stable. She's raced well in better than this and has won 2/4 fresh, and 3x over this distance. Owns a solid trial and will go close if the money comes. GUAC ON (11) has looked in need of racing but will be sharper stepping up to a longer sprint. Has the early speed to use the inside gate to advantage and weight relief this grade. His best would see him in the finish. FORT WILLIAM (10) resumed in a 65 at the Gold Coast, beaten 2.2L when expected to need the outing. Proven second up and has pieces of form that would see him well in the mix. Maps well and carries 9lbs less today.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	At the latest run 7th of 10 at Doomben Bm70 on April 1 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Eye Of The Eagle carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that second last in a small field at Warwick Farm 3&4yo Bm64 on March 4 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Just Maz with 131lbs at $4.20. Well placed to win. 1st Pick 12 Scrumptious Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Todd Pollard J: Ben Thompson T: Todd Pollard	192	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 7th of 10 at Doomben Bm70 on April 1 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Eye Of The Eagle carrying 121lbs at $4.20. The run before that second last in a small field at Warwick Farm 3&4yo Bm64 on March 4 over 6 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Just Maz with 131lbs at $4.20. Well placed to win.
6	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation fourth in a small field at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 February 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Butternut Princess with 127lbs at $6.50. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Regal Tycoon with 129lbs at $5. Has the ability and the betting will be key. 2nd Pick 6 Matawai Jockey: Tiffani Brooker Trainer: Jeff Dunn J: Tiffani Brooker T: Jeff Dunn	101	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation fourth in a small field at Sandown-Hillside F&M Bm70 February 4 over 7f, 4 len behind Butternut Princess with 127lbs at $6.50. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Cranbourne Bm66 December 5 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Regal Tycoon with 129lbs at $5. Has the ability and the betting will be key.
11	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up led to the turn then faded 8th of 10 at this track Cl2 on March 26 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capital Heart carrying 130lbs at $5. Last start 4th of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm68 on April 8 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Moulin Miss carrying 126lbs at $9. Improver with top-three claims. 3rd Pick 11 Guac On Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Kelly Schweida J: Damien Thornton T: Kelly Schweida	127	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up led to the turn then faded 8th of 10 at this track Cl2 on March 26 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capital Heart carrying 130lbs at $5. Last start 4th of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm68 on April 8 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Moulin Miss carrying 126lbs at $9. Improver with top-three claims.

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