AU - Ipswich - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

ELNAJEEB (1) profiles strongly after shedding his maiden tag in style at Warwick, then holding his ground for a close fourth at Eagle Farm in a good CL1. The inside barrier, apprentice claim and stable profile give him a solid platform. I'M NELSON (2) is the main danger third-up, with two CL2 runs this campaign that read well enough for this grade, and he is already proven at the trip. TULONG (8) is better than the beaten margin from Doomben suggests after copping bumps in running, and his Gold Coast fourth over 1 ?m two back keeps him right in the mix if he sharpens back in trip. AZUKI (12) arrives in winning form after scoring as a well-supported favourite at Beaudesert, and his distance record gives him a genuine case to hold that form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Held his form well after the Warwick win, finishing fourth in a 3yo+ Class 1 at Eagle Farm when leading to the turn and working home evenly, beaten just under two lengths by Farset. That followed a sharp Maiden win at Warwick where he put away Mishani Senorita by two and a half lengths. Drawn inside with a claim and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 1 Elnajeeb Jockey: Emily Pozman Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Emily Pozman T: Tony Gollan	171	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Held his form well after the Warwick win, finishing fourth in a 3yo+ Class 1 at Eagle Farm when leading to the turn and working home evenly, beaten just under two lengths by Farset. That followed a sharp Maiden win at Warwick where he put away Mishani Senorita by two and a half lengths. Drawn inside with a claim and looks the one to beat.
2	Worked home soundly at Warwick last start in Class 2 grade, finishing fourth to Artie Vainqueur and beaten just over two lengths after being near the top of betting. His Doomben fifth first-up had merit at big odds, with a slow start and traffic in the straight before closing off. Strong chance if he finishes off cleanly. 2nd Pick 2 I'm Nelson Jockey: Martin Harley Trainer: Mark Goodwin J: Martin Harley T: Mark Goodwin	123	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Worked home soundly at Warwick last start in Class 2 grade, finishing fourth to Artie Vainqueur and beaten just over two lengths after being near the top of betting. His Doomben fifth first-up had merit at big odds, with a slow start and traffic in the straight before closing off. Strong chance if he finishes off cleanly.
8	Had more against him than the margin shows at Doomben last start, finishing fifth in Class 2 company after being bumped at several stages and beaten just over six lengths by Global Eclipse. Two back he was much closer at Gold Coast, leading and beaten a length and a half over 1m. Close Gold Coast fourth two back and this setup gives him a winning chance. 3rd Pick 8 Tulong Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Jason Edwards J: Cejay Graham T: Jason Edwards	84	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Had more against him than the margin shows at Doomben last start, finishing fifth in Class 2 company after being bumped at several stages and beaten just over six lengths by Global Eclipse. Two back he was much closer at Gold Coast, leading and beaten a length and a half over 1m. Close Gold Coast fourth two back and this setup gives him a winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.