AU - Hobart - Race 9

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 5

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Big field and wide open. SOUTHERN AURORAS (3) raced on pace fresh in a Class 1 and proved too smart. That was off a long break and can only be fitter. Definitely worth following up. HUBUBBAJAHN (11) is usually thereabouts but finds it hard to win, with just two wins from 26 starts. Tried to lead throughout but she found one better over 5 ¾f at Devonport Synthetic. Placed to advantage so expect a big run. TRIBAL COUNCIL (4) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 6f at this track, beaten 3.5 lengths into fourth. Has been thereabouts without winning but on his best form he is one of the key runners. BENEFITSOFMINE (1) turned in a fine effort to score by a neck at this track and distance last start in a much improved run. That was his first run in this area for the new yard and can only be improved. ALPINE RUBY (5) was in the minor money last timed should run well again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at this track Cl1 July 19 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Alpine Ruby carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at this track Mdn-Sw December 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Argyll Diamond with 125lbs at $2.80. The one to beat based on that latest effort. Big winner fresh and expected to go close again 1st Pick 3 Southern Auroras Jockey: Chloe Wells Trainer: Stuart Gandy J: Chloe Wells T: Stuart Gandy	134	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at this track Cl1 July 19 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Alpine Ruby carrying 125lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 4 len win at this track Mdn-Sw December 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Argyll Diamond with 125lbs at $2.80. The one to beat based on that latest effort. Big winner fresh and expected to go close again
11	Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Devonport Synthetic Cl4 Sw on July 26 over 5 ¾f, nose behind The Real Man with 119lbs at $21. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track Bm60 on July 5 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Sky Land carrying 122lbs at $7.50. Looks a key runner. 2nd Pick 11 Hububbajahn Jockey: Anthony Darmanin Trainer: Brendan Mcshane J: Anthony Darmanin T: Brendan Mcshane	132	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Devonport Synthetic Cl4 Sw on July 26 over 5 ¾f, nose behind The Real Man with 119lbs at $21. The start before that 5th of 14 at this track Bm60 on July 5 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Sky Land carrying 122lbs at $7.50. Looks a key runner.
4	Returns from a 31-day let-up. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at this track Bm60 on July 5 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Sky Land carrying 130lbs at $9.50. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track Cl2 on June 21 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Wild Nights with 120lbs at $5.50. Can improve again. Tough to beat if near his best. 3rd Pick 4 Tribal Council Jockey: Bree Temple Trainer: Sarah Cotton J: Bree Temple T: Sarah Cotton	132	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Returns from a 31-day let-up. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at this track Bm60 on July 5 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Sky Land carrying 130lbs at $9.50. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track Cl2 on June 21 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Wild Nights with 120lbs at $5.50. Can improve again. Tough to beat if near his best.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.