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6:10 AM

AU - Hobart - Race 8

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ROXY DANCER (4) was beaten as the favourite on debut here last season after showing plenty of talent at the trials, and with more time to mature, she was too strong fresh up here 12 days ago when scoring by nearly a length over 5f. Top hoop Anthony Darmanin replaces an apprentice, and she looks capable of racing right through the grades this season. VERHOEVEN (5) ran on late fresh up at Launceston just over 6 weeks ago, and has been freshened up again. If he doesn't need the hit-out, then he is capable of figuring in the top 4 here. LAWRENNY BOYS (3) fought on gamely for a well beaten second fresh up behind a very smart type here 12 days ago. He will be peaking third up, and with the aid of a 9lbs claim, he will be very competitive again. PARTY DAY (9) showed plenty of pace in her 2 starts last prep on the Devonport poly track, and she may try similar front running tactics fresh up in this. Include in wider combos. MISS LYRA (8) has been racing consistently, and will do so again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Roxy Dancer silk

Second-up. Promising on debut led but faded 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on May 24 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Geegees Ace carrying 125lbs at $2.80. Went for a break before returning favourite, won by 0.8 len in a Mdn-Sw at this track on November 3 over 5f defeating Fierce Spirit carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Fitter for recent racing and is a winning hope.

1st Pick
4

Roxy Dancer

Jockey: Anthony Darmanin

Trainer: Jessie Bazan

J: Anthony Darmanin

T: Jessie Bazan

120---19%9/2

Analysis

Second-up. Promising on debut led but faded 3rd of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on May 24 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Geegees Ace carrying 125lbs at $2.80. Went for a break before returning favourite, won by 0.8 len in a Mdn-Sw at this track on November 3 over 5f defeating Fierce Spirit carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Fitter for recent racing and is a winning hope.

5
Verhoeven silk

Second-up. Comes off a 44-day let-up. First-up after three months eased back early on 6th of 9 in a Cl1 at Launceston on October 2 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Vortistar carrying 129lbs at $9. Previously second-up 5th of 13 in a Cl1 at this track on July 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Southern Auroras with 127lbs at $5.50. Fitter for recent racing and is a winning hope.

2nd Pick
5

Verhoeven

Jockey: Troy Baker

Trainer: Sigrid Carr

J: Troy Baker

T: Sigrid Carr

116---10%10/1

Analysis

Second-up. Comes off a 44-day let-up. First-up after three months eased back early on 6th of 9 in a Cl1 at Launceston on October 2 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Vortistar carrying 129lbs at $9. Previously second-up 5th of 13 in a Cl1 at this track on July 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Southern Auroras with 127lbs at $5.50. Fitter for recent racing and is a winning hope.

3
Lawrenny Boys silk

Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 in a Cl2 at Launceston on October 9 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Jenni The Cat with 123lbs at $13. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 in a Cl1 at this track on November 3 over 6f, 4 len behind John Of Jane with 121lbs at $14. Forward showing expected.

3rd Pick
3

Lawrenny Boys

Jockey: Robyn Lynch

Trainer: John Keys

J: Robyn Lynch

T: John Keys

164---11%17/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 in a Cl2 at Launceston on October 9 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Jenni The Cat with 123lbs at $13. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 in a Cl1 at this track on November 3 over 6f, 4 len behind John Of Jane with 121lbs at $14. Forward showing expected.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.