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5:30 AM

AU - Hobart - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
17.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FLUFFY'S GIRL (7) has been placed in 2 of her 3 starts this prep at Launceston, finishing second by a head there just over 2 weeks ago. The slight rise in class will hold no fears for her, and the key this time will be having top hoop Anthony Darmanin in the saddle for the first time. On top for us. ALPINE THUNDER (1) is a bold front running gelding who has been racing in good form in tougher fields than what he meets here. He has a 9lbs claiming apprentice to offset his sharp weight rise, and if he can find the top from his wide gate, then he can take them all the way. MAKE A DECISION (2) is a durable veteran resuming from a spell without any public trials. He may need this hit-out, but he benefits from a 9lbs claim, and is worth keeping safe. STREET DIVA (3) rattled home late to finish third here 12 days ago, and has raced her way into fitness, She is peaking at the right time, drops in weight, and can figure in the top 4 again. TASSIE POWER (4) strips fitter, and is not out of this.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Fluffy's Girl silk

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Bm60 at Launceston on October 30 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Popilita with 122lbs at $4.40. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in a Cl3 at Launceston on October 16 over 6f, 7 len behind Ozonica with 119lbs at $26. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.

1st Pick
7

Fluffy's Girl

Jockey: Anthony Darmanin

Trainer: Christie Burt

J: Anthony Darmanin

T: Christie Burt

123---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 in a Bm60 at Launceston on October 30 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Popilita with 122lbs at $4.40. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 in a Cl3 at Launceston on October 16 over 6f, 7 len behind Ozonica with 119lbs at $26. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.

1
Alpine Thunder silk

At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 in a Qlty at this track on November 3 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Blameitontheboogie with 119lbs at $21. Before that 5th of 9 in a Bm76 at Launceston on September 25 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Glory Mission carrying 126lbs at $14. Can improve again. Top chance.

2nd Pick
1

Alpine Thunder

Jockey: Robyn Lynch

Trainer: Stuart Gandy

J: Robyn Lynch

T: Stuart Gandy

184---29%5/2

Analysis

At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 in a Qlty at this track on November 3 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Blameitontheboogie with 119lbs at $21. Before that 5th of 9 in a Bm76 at Launceston on September 25 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Glory Mission carrying 126lbs at $14. Can improve again. Top chance.

2
Make A Decision silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation when last of 7 at Launceston Open April 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Perola carrying 116lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign second last of 8 at this track Cl6 Sw June 22 2025 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind Anyways Roxie carrying 126lbs at $14. Can return in winning form.

3rd Pick
2

Make A Decision

Jockey: Indi Bowles

Trainer: Sarah Cotton

J: Indi Bowles

T: Sarah Cotton

98---9%11/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation when last of 7 at Launceston Open April 3 over 6f, 6 len behind Perola carrying 116lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign second last of 8 at this track Cl6 Sw June 22 2025 over 6f, soft track, 7 len behind Anyways Roxie carrying 126lbs at $14. Can return in winning form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.