AU - Hobart - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

14.3K

VIEW

Verdict

Impossible to go past QUAFFTIDE (2) who has been in rare form including winning both tries this circuit at last two starts, the latest a Class 4 over 7f as the favourite. Course and distance winner the start prior and will be hard to hold out again. BERSERKER (4) has been a victim of Quafftide at the last two starts, going down narrowly two back then a close-up fourth last time. Meets the winner 3lbs better at the weights and with a soft run could well turn the tables. LONTANO (7) was well beaten in the same race two back then not far away latest. Has the ability and among the main hopes. JUST A NEEDS (1) is closing in on a way and is one of the chances. SIR JAG (8) next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track Cl4 Sw May 24 over 7f on a soft track defeating Material Madam with 126lbs at $2.10. The start before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track Cl3 May 10 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Native Clan carrying 119lbs at $7.50. Well placed. In great recent form including back to back wins here and can make it three straight. 1st Pick 2 Quafftide Jockey: Erica Byrne Burke Trainer: Matthew Brown J: Erica Byrne Burke T: Matthew Brown	157	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track Cl4 Sw May 24 over 7f on a soft track defeating Material Madam with 126lbs at $2.10. The start before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at this track Cl3 May 10 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Native Clan carrying 119lbs at $7.50. Well placed. In great recent form including back to back wins here and can make it three straight.
4	Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 9 at this track Cl4 Sw on May 24 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Quafftide carrying 126lbs at $6.50. The run before that 3rd of 12 at this track Cl3 on May 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Quafftide with 123lbs at $10. Overdue for a win and is sure to run well. 2nd Pick 4 Berserker Jockey: Bulent Muhcu Trainer: Stephen Shaw J: Bulent Muhcu T: Stephen Shaw	129	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 9 at this track Cl4 Sw on May 24 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Quafftide carrying 126lbs at $6.50. The run before that 3rd of 12 at this track Cl3 on May 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Quafftide with 123lbs at $10. Overdue for a win and is sure to run well.
7	Last start got back early 4th in a small field at this track Bm68 on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Zewinna with 119lbs at $10. The race before that 10th of 12 at this track Cl3 on May 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Quafftide with 119lbs at $16. Made headway last time. Has ability and is one of the leading chances. 3rd Pick 7 Lontano Jockey: Hayley Mccarthy Trainer: John Blacker J: Hayley Mccarthy T: John Blacker	83	-	-	-	7%	14/1
Analysis Last start got back early 4th in a small field at this track Bm68 on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Zewinna with 119lbs at $10. The race before that 10th of 12 at this track Cl3 on May 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Quafftide with 119lbs at $16. Made headway last time. Has ability and is one of the leading chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.