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7:37 AM

AU - Hobart - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6.9f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
18.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SOUTHERN AURORAS (5) won her Maiden by a space here four back and has threatened another win each run since. The longer sprint will suit, and she gets the nod in a competitive race. BELLA CHINKARA (6) just missed second up, finishing ahead of the above and building on her impressive Maiden win. She has more to give but the awkward gate tempers expectations somewhat. A live chance regardless. CRIPPS (1) resumes and has come across from Victoria for the occasion. He didn't come up in his two starts last preparation, but showed plenty in his initial campaign. He owns two trial wins and will be right in it if presented on song. The betting will be key. VERHOEVEN (3) deserved his Maiden win and finally draws an inside barrier. A top hoop goes on, replacing the apprentice. He should get every chance to go on.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Southern Auroras silk

Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 13 at this track Cl1 on January 25 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Antheia with 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Cl2 on January 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind First Line carrying 123lbs at $2.70. Finds a nice race and gets her chance.

1st Pick
5

Southern Auroras

Jockey: Codi Jordan

Trainer: Stuart Gandy

J: Codi Jordan

T: Stuart Gandy

123---25%3/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 13 at this track Cl1 on January 25 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Antheia with 126lbs at $4.40. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Cl2 on January 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind First Line carrying 123lbs at $2.70. Finds a nice race and gets her chance.

6
Bella Chinkara silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw January 2 over 6f on a soft track defeating Ilovethistown with 121lbs at $2.70. Second-up 2nd of 13 at this track Cl1 on January 25 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Antheia with 122lbs at $3.50. Shapes as a key runner.

2nd Pick
6

Bella Chinkara

Jockey: David Pires

Trainer: John Blacker

J: David Pires

T: John Blacker

136---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw January 2 over 6f on a soft track defeating Ilovethistown with 121lbs at $2.70. Second-up 2nd of 13 at this track Cl1 on January 25 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Antheia with 122lbs at $3.50. Shapes as a key runner.

1
Cripps silk

Dual acceptor. Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Seymour Bm64 August 31 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Nimbustwothousand carrying 130lbs at $7. First up last campaign seventh of 9 at Mildura Bm64 July 18 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Shootoose carrying 131lbs at $1.70. Looks all set for a bold return.

3rd Pick
1

Cripps

Jockey: Jett Stanley

Trainer: Patrick Kearney

J: Jett Stanley

T: Patrick Kearney

103---29%5/2

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Seymour Bm64 August 31 over 6f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Nimbustwothousand carrying 130lbs at $7. First up last campaign seventh of 9 at Mildura Bm64 July 18 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Shootoose carrying 131lbs at $1.70. Looks all set for a bold return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.