AU - Hobart - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 6

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

LADY FERN (12) just missed this grade two back then skipped a grade last time and wasn't beaten far. Well placed back a notch for this and gets chance to return to winning form. GEEGEES ACE (2) is a progressive type who was off the mark with the maiden win latest. Fitter for the first run in a long way and can measure up again. LAWRENNY BOYS (3) was a strong maiden winner two back then raced in open 3yo grade latest and tried to lead throughout but found one better. This easier and in great form but will just need a touch of luck early from a wide draw. WILD NIGHTS (13) rates highly on her best performances and deserves another chance. CARDIOSPHERE (4) was a maiden winner before a let-up and will give a sight fresh.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Last start 6th of 10 at this track Cl2 on May 24 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Billie The Great carrying 117lbs at $7.50. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track Cl1 on May 10 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Zulu Fields carrying 117lbs at $18. Rates highly here and back in grade can return to form. 1st Pick 12 Lady Fern Jockey: Kirra-Lee Lane Trainer: John Blacker J: Kirra-Lee Lane T: John Blacker	125	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start 6th of 10 at this track Cl2 on May 24 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Billie The Great carrying 117lbs at $7.50. The run before that 2nd of 14 at this track Cl1 on May 10 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Zulu Fields carrying 117lbs at $18. Rates highly here and back in grade can return to form.
2	Second run back. First-up after five months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track Mdn-Sw May 24 over 6f on a soft track defeating Miss Strat carrying 129lbs at $4. Previously second-up 8th of 13 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Megalita with 126lbs at $11. Has upside and can make it two on the trot. 2nd Pick 2 Geegees Ace Jockey: Codi Jordan Trainer: Stuart Gandy J: Codi Jordan T: Stuart Gandy	110	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track Mdn-Sw May 24 over 6f on a soft track defeating Miss Strat carrying 129lbs at $4. Previously second-up 8th of 13 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Megalita with 126lbs at $11. Has upside and can make it two on the trot.
3	Racing well recently. At the latest run led but faded 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Hcp on May 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Daytona Diva carrying 119lbs at $31. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw May 10 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Timely Needs with 125lbs at $2.40. Terrific chance on the back of some excellent recent form. 3rd Pick 3 Lawrenny Boys Jockey: Sam Kennedy Trainer: John Keys J: Sam Kennedy T: John Keys	176	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run led but faded 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Hcp on May 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Daytona Diva carrying 119lbs at $31. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn-Sw May 10 over 5 ½f in soft going defeating Timely Needs with 125lbs at $2.40. Terrific chance on the back of some excellent recent form.

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