AU - Hobart - Race 4

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

52.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MAZZINI (4) is a classy galloper who spaced his 3YO rivals here in the Tasmanian Guineas before comfortably putting away the Open class gallopers at Launceston. The free runner will use the inside barrier and you'd be brave to think he can be stopped. SWIFT FORCE (5) is a leader who was spelled off a 4.5L Maiden win. She was dominant again when winning an Open 3 here first-up. Draws low and Newitt sticks aboard. Strips fitter and is sure to give a big sight. Stablemate PERSPIRATION (1) showed much better form second-up when narrowly beaten in an Open 4 at Launceston. He was with Ciaron Maher earlier in his career and just missed in the Listed Heritage Stakes at Rosehill under his care. Suffered an injury following and was off the scene for 256 days before his first-up outing for John Keys. Fitter and may have turned the corner. AGADOO (6) and VIXEN'S MOON (3) are both heading in the right direction, but this is tough.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Launceston Ladbrokes Stks January 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Geegees Gemstone with 121lbs at $1.14. The race before that favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track LR Tas Guineas December 28 over 1m defeating Crack The Shutters carrying 126lbs at $1.60. Should be winning again. 1st Pick 4 Mazzini Jockey: Kelvin Sanderson Trainer: Barry Campbell J: Kelvin Sanderson T: Barry Campbell	343	-	-	-	72%	2/5
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Launceston Ladbrokes Stks January 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Geegees Gemstone with 121lbs at $1.14. The race before that favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track LR Tas Guineas December 28 over 1m defeating Crack The Shutters carrying 126lbs at $1.60. Should be winning again.
5	Third race start. Strong on debut as favourite, won by 4.5 len at Launceston 3yo Mdn-Sw October 12 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Sky Of Gold carrying 121lbs at $2.60. Went for a spell before returning favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track 3yo Hcp January 18 over 6f on a soft track defeating Prince Of Khatun with 119lbs at $2.50. Big chance to register the hat-trick. Hard knock the form and is the likely threat. 2nd Pick 5 Swift Force Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: John Keys J: Craig Newitt T: John Keys	136	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third race start. Strong on debut as favourite, won by 4.5 len at Launceston 3yo Mdn-Sw October 12 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Sky Of Gold carrying 121lbs at $2.60. Went for a spell before returning favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track 3yo Hcp January 18 over 6f on a soft track defeating Prince Of Khatun with 119lbs at $2.50. Big chance to register the hat-trick. Hard knock the form and is the likely threat.
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 8 at this track Qlty on December 14 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Press For Boom carrying 123lbs at $9.50. Second-up in a small field at Launceston 4yo Hcp on January 23 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Go Jeanie carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Rates highly at best. 3rd Pick 1 Perspiration Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: John Keys J: Jake Noonan T: John Keys	159	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 8 at this track Qlty on December 14 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Press For Boom carrying 123lbs at $9.50. Second-up in a small field at Launceston 4yo Hcp on January 23 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Go Jeanie carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Rates highly at best.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.