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2:30 AM

AU - Hobart - Race 2

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MISS STRAT (11) should be suited by the drop back from 6f to 5 ½f, and she has found the right sort of race fifth up from a spell. Hard to beat in this. THERMAL MISS (12) will be peaking third up from a spell, and she has shown enough to say that she can win a race like this at short notice. Each way. FIERCE SPIRIT (5) resumed with a big effort for second here 12 days ago, will have to contend with a tougher gate this time. He won't have to improve by much to be the winner here. UNCLE MARK (8) has improved in each of his 3 trials to date, and he makes his debut from a handy gate, in a very winnable race. Follow the early market support. THE BIG FELLA (3) resumes from a spell, and only needs to run up to his trial form to be a threat in this. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Miss Strat silk

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Launceston on October 30 over 6f, 3 len behind Kion's Kingdom with 125lbs at $7. The start before that 6th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Launceston on October 16 over 6f, 2 len behind Noble with 125lbs at $4.40. Made headway last time. Top chance.

1st Pick
11

Miss Strat

Jockey: Bulent Muhcu

Trainer: Bradley Franklin

J: Bulent Muhcu

T: Bradley Franklin

99---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Launceston on October 30 over 6f, 3 len behind Kion's Kingdom with 125lbs at $7. The start before that 6th of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Launceston on October 16 over 6f, 2 len behind Noble with 125lbs at $4.40. Made headway last time. Top chance.

12
Thermal Miss silk

Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Launceston on October 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Vabuiagi with 125lbs at $3.80. Last start 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on November 3 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Roxy Dancer with 125lbs at $8.50. Well placed. Should prove hard to beat.

2nd Pick
12

Thermal Miss

Jockey: Hayley Mccarthy

Trainer: Andrew Roach

J: Hayley Mccarthy

T: Andrew Roach

82---11%17/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 in a Mdn-Sw at Launceston on October 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Vabuiagi with 125lbs at $3.80. Last start 3rd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on November 3 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Roxy Dancer with 125lbs at $8.50. Well placed. Should prove hard to beat.

5
Fierce Spirit silk

Second run back. First-up after six months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on November 3 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Roxy Dancer carrying 121lbs at $17. Previously second-up 4th in a small field in a 2yo SW at Launceston on April 17 over 6f, 14 len behind Aristopolos with 126lbs at $21. Among the leading chances.

3rd Pick
5

Fierce Spirit

Jockey: Lauryn Bingley

Trainer: John Blacker

J: Lauryn Bingley

T: John Blacker

154---10%10/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at this track on November 3 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Roxy Dancer carrying 121lbs at $17. Previously second-up 4th in a small field in a 2yo SW at Launceston on April 17 over 6f, 14 len behind Aristopolos with 126lbs at $21. Among the leading chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.