AU - Hobart - Race 2

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

16.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Good race with plenty of winning hopes. Like the look of COLONEL BOGEY (3) though who has placed two of three runs so far. Returned from a break with a fast finishing second and fitter again can go one better. ZAMBEZI BLONDE (6) was safely held in stakes class on debut then tipped out again. Resumed with an on speed third here and will strip fitter for it. Expected to give a sight. GEEGEES MERCEDES (12) is a speedy filly who placed here fresh then was gassed early and faded latest. Has a low draw and will give a sight. JENNI THE CAT (13) is a four start maiden but ran four really solid race, the last two in open two-year-old class before a long spell. Has ability and expected to be winding up late. D'AMBIDEX (7) is better than last start and worth another chance coming back in trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Second-up today. Last outing ran on from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Wolf Junior with 126lbs at $1.85. At only start last preparation 4th of 7 at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on July 27 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Streetfighter Vega carrying 126lbs at $1.50. Fitter for a strong return and worth following up. 1st Pick 3 Colonel Bogey Jockey: Bulent Muhcu Trainer: Jessie Bazan J: Bulent Muhcu T: Jessie Bazan	282	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Second-up today. Last outing ran on from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5 ½f, long-neck behind Wolf Junior with 126lbs at $1.85. At only start last preparation 4th of 7 at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on July 27 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Streetfighter Vega carrying 126lbs at $1.50. Fitter for a strong return and worth following up.
6	Second-up. First start 9th of 11 at this track in the LR 2yo SW on January 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 13 len behind Zany Girl carrying 126lbs at $31. Went for a spell before returning held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 23 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Sh' Bourne Angel carrying 126lbs at $6. Fought on well fresh and expected to give a sight here. 2nd Pick 6 Zambezi Blonde Jockey: Erica Byrne Burke Trainer: John Keys J: Erica Byrne Burke T: John Keys	120	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second-up. First start 9th of 11 at this track in the LR 2yo SW on January 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 13 len behind Zany Girl carrying 126lbs at $31. Went for a spell before returning held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 23 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Sh' Bourne Angel carrying 126lbs at $6. Fought on well fresh and expected to give a sight here.
12	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 5f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Celestial Glow carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Last start failed to make an impression, second last of 9 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Wolf Junior carrying 121lbs at $9. Speedy filly who will take catching off the low draw. 3rd Pick 12 Geegees Mercedes Jockey: Troy Baker Trainer: Stuart Gandy J: Troy Baker T: Stuart Gandy	92	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 5f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Celestial Glow carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Last start failed to make an impression, second last of 9 at Launceston Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 5 ½f, 7 len behind Wolf Junior carrying 121lbs at $9. Speedy filly who will take catching off the low draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.