AU - Hawkesbury - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

31.5K

VIEW

Verdict

KILLER KERR (12) settled worse than midfield then knuckled down in the run home to get up for second when resuming over this distance at Goulburn last start. Steps up in grade but carries 5kgs less today. Distance specialist with strong second-up stats so she ticks all the boxes. LAST DRUID (3) is racing in great heart this prep. Scored two back over 6f at Gosford then missed by a whisker in a Midway at Rosehill last time. Beautifully drawn and looks a huge chance to return to the winner's list. ROTHO BRO (8) caught the eye first-up over 6f at Newcastle. Awkwardly drawn but over a longer trip he comes right into calculations. PHILATELIC (6) returns from a lay-off. Fitter for a recent trial at Warwick Farm. Opened last campaign with a fourth at Warwick Farm over 7f. In the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 9 at Goulburn Bm66 on June 22 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Butterfly Style with 128lbs at $7. Previously second-up from last on the turn 6th of 10 at Newcastle Prov Bm64 on March 12 over 7f, 2 len behind Benamera with 122lbs at $20. Strips fitter and drops sharply in the weights after the claim - sure to prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 12 Killer Kerr Jockey: Olivia Chambers Trainer: Peter Green J: Olivia Chambers T: Peter Green	102	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 9 at Goulburn Bm66 on June 22 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Butterfly Style with 128lbs at $7. Previously second-up from last on the turn 6th of 10 at Newcastle Prov Bm64 on March 12 over 7f, 2 len behind Benamera with 122lbs at $20. Strips fitter and drops sharply in the weights after the claim - sure to prove hard to beat.
3	Recent form sound. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Rosehill Midway Bm72(71) on July 4 over 6f, slow going nose behind Nullarbor Jane with 121lbs at $20. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by a neck at Gosford Bm64 June 18 over 6f in heavy going defeating Whack Attack with 127lbs at $4.40. Shapes as one of the key chances. 2nd Pick 3 Last Druid Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Alysha Collett T: Tracey Bartley	152	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Rosehill Midway Bm72(71) on July 4 over 6f, slow going nose behind Nullarbor Jane with 121lbs at $20. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by a neck at Gosford Bm64 June 18 over 6f in heavy going defeating Whack Attack with 127lbs at $4.40. Shapes as one of the key chances.
7	Most recently 6th of 10 at this track Bm64 on June 23 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.0 len behind Dr Evil carrying 128lbs at $13. The start before that 5th of 11 at Newcastle F&M Bm64 on June 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Celtic Sin with 129lbs at $61. Blinkers on for the first time might be the key. 3rd Pick 7 Prefer Diamonds Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jason Attard J: Non Runner T: Jason Attard	113	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 6th of 10 at this track Bm64 on June 23 over 7 ½f, slow going 1.0 len behind Dr Evil carrying 128lbs at $13. The start before that 5th of 11 at Newcastle F&M Bm64 on June 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Celtic Sin with 129lbs at $61. Blinkers on for the first time might be the key.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.