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4:26 AM

AU - Hawkesbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
31.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Impossible to go past IRONBLOOD EMPRESS (4) who finished the race off well and just missed the placings on debut over 6 ¼f at the Kensington track last start. Very little quality in this race so despite being a two-year-old taking on older horses she should be too good. CAPE DOUGLAS (5) pushed hard from a wide gate to lead then couldn't do it at both ends when down the track over this course and distance last time out. Fitter for two runs back from a spell and draws a lot closer today. A danger if there is one. PRANKAJ (9) made a little late ground without threatening first-up over 6f at Wyong. Can improve over this longer trip second-up. WARM FRONT (12) is back after a 20-week spell. Form when last in work was patchy. One for the wider exotics. SHARE THE JOY (11) is a 33-start maiden back from a five-month lay-off. Placed two from three when fresh so might be worth an each-way ticket.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Ironblood Empress silk

At debut, 4th of 7 at Randwick Kensington 2yo F Mdn-Sw on July 1 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Consulate carrying 126lbs at $13. Promising type who looks head and shoulders above in this easier maiden.

1st Pick
4

Ironblood Empress

Jockey: Chad Schofield

Trainer: Brad Widdup

J: Chad Schofield

T: Brad Widdup

181---39%13/8

Analysis

At debut, 4th of 7 at Randwick Kensington 2yo F Mdn-Sw on July 1 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Consulate carrying 126lbs at $13. Promising type who looks head and shoulders above in this easier maiden.

5
Cape Douglas silk

Third-up today. Resuming ran second last of 10 at Canterbury Super 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 17 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Gatwick with 121lbs at $151. Second run from a spell 6th of 12 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on July 2 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Viva Mauricio with 126lbs at $31. Certainly worth another chance.

2nd Pick
5

Cape Douglas

Jockey: Tyler Schiller

Trainer: Marc Chevalier

J: Tyler Schiller

T: Marc Chevalier

142---35%15/8

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming ran second last of 10 at Canterbury Super 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 17 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Gatwick with 121lbs at $151. Second run from a spell 6th of 12 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on July 2 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Viva Mauricio with 126lbs at $31. Certainly worth another chance.

9
Prankaj silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 9 at Wyong Prov Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Stability carrying 126lbs at $71. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Goulburn Mdn on February 27 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Rambova with 123lbs at $71. Fitter and is a strong top three contender.

3rd Pick
9

Prankaj

Jockey: Jay Ford

Trainer: Blake Ryan

J: Jay Ford

T: Blake Ryan

96---3%33/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 6th of 9 at Wyong Prov Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Stability carrying 126lbs at $71. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Goulburn Mdn on February 27 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Rambova with 123lbs at $71. Fitter and is a strong top three contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.