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3:25 AM

AU - Hawkesbury - Race 2

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
27.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FRANKELY SUBLIME (6) raced keenly in the run and pulled up with a slow recovery rate when a disappointing eighth over 6f at Kembla Grange. Gets map favours again and will relish the weight drop. Key jockey change and expect a sharp form reversal. PROVISEUR (4) frustrating gelding resuming in weaker company. Drifted back in the run and failed to make an impression when a poor seventh over 7f at Randwick Kensington. Looked good when a recent trial winner over 4f at Kembla Grange. Has a stack of gear changes and will be closing late. PENTAGON (2) former New Zealand sprinter on debut for the Bjorn Baker yard. Ran into the minor money again when third over 6 ½f at Cambridge Synthetic Maat last July. Has impressed in both trials and has the speed to get across from the sticky draw. Gelded over the break and the blinkers come off. Big market watch. HERAION (10) deep into her preparation now and can race handy with cover. Value player.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Frankely Sublime silk

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Newcastle F&M Mdn on October 18 over 6 ¼f, slow going 1.2 len behind Beverly Hills with 130lbs at $15. Second-up second last of 9 at Kembla Grange F&M Mdn on November 4 over 6f, 8 len behind Me Me with 131lbs at $8.50. Fitter now and expected to bounce back.

1st Pick
6

Frankely Sublime

Jockey: Tommy Berry

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Tommy Berry

T: Chris Waller

135---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Newcastle F&M Mdn on October 18 over 6 ¼f, slow going 1.2 len behind Beverly Hills with 130lbs at $15. Second-up second last of 9 at Kembla Grange F&M Mdn on November 4 over 6f, 8 len behind Me Me with 131lbs at $8.50. Fitter now and expected to bounce back.

4
Proviseur silk

Resuming today after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 9 at Randwick Kensington Super 3yo Mdn-Sw June 11 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Sister Daae carrying 121lbs at $15. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn May 7 over 6 ½f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Hopper carrying 128lbs at $5. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

2nd Pick
4

Proviseur

Jockey: Adam Farragher

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Adam Farragher

T: Ciaron Maher

136---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming today after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 9 at Randwick Kensington Super 3yo Mdn-Sw June 11 over 7f, soft track, 7 len behind Sister Daae carrying 121lbs at $15. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn May 7 over 6 ½f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Hopper carrying 128lbs at $5. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

2
Pentagon silk

Resumes from a spell. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic Maat July 23 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Oban carrying 123lbs at $17. On debut fourth of 13 at Tauranga May 28 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind MacAllan carrying 127lbs at $5.40. Gelded over the break and makes his Australian debut, respect.

3rd Pick
2

Pentagon

Jockey: Rachel King

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Rachel King

T: Bjorn Baker

86---39%13/8

Analysis

Resumes from a spell. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic Maat July 23 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Oban carrying 123lbs at $17. On debut fourth of 13 at Tauranga May 28 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind MacAllan carrying 127lbs at $5.40. Gelded over the break and makes his Australian debut, respect.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.