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Resulted

AU - Hawkesbury - Race 2

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
29.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DERRY CITY FELIX (1) potential staying gelding ready to shed his Maiden tag from the low draw. Used up early from the wide barrier with a battling fourth over 7 ½f at Kembla Grange on the heavy (9) surface. Winkers go on and ready to win on the firmer surface. WAVE DANCER (10) shapes as the main danger after making rapid improvement from last on the turn with an eye-catching third over 6f at Goulburn on the soft (7) track. Ready for the trip and expect to see her a little closer in the run. THE IRON STAR (6) ran some good races here last campaign and close to his top third-up. Just over three weeks between runs with a plugging fifth over 7 ½f at Kembla Grange. Keep safe. STOCK ROAD (4) holding his form in weaker company and ready for the 1m third-up. Surged late from the sticky gate with a close-up second over 7f at Queanbeyan. Value player.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Derry City Felix silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 9 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn on March 3 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Ribble Lace with 131lbs at $3.10. Before that 4th of 7 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on February 19 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Kokatahi with 130lbs at $9.50. Improving gelding who gets a much better set-up for this, go close.

1st Pick
1

Derry City Felix

Jockey: Andrew Calder

Trainer: Paul & Martha Cave

J: Andrew Calder

T: Paul & Martha Cave

180---39%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 9 at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn on March 3 over 7 ½f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Ribble Lace with 131lbs at $3.10. Before that 4th of 7 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on February 19 over 7 ½f, 1.5 len behind Kokatahi with 130lbs at $9.50. Improving gelding who gets a much better set-up for this, go close.

9
Circus Girl silk

Last start got back early 6th of 9 at Newcastle Prov Mdn-Sw on March 6 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Barrengarry with 126lbs at $151. The race before that second last of 9 at Wyong Super Mdn-Sw on February 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Serpico with 126lbs at $151. Will struggle again.

2nd Pick
9

Circus Girl

Jockey: Robyn Freeman

Trainer: Karen Outtrim

J: Robyn Freeman

T: Karen Outtrim

78---5%

Analysis

Last start got back early 6th of 9 at Newcastle Prov Mdn-Sw on March 6 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Barrengarry with 126lbs at $151. The race before that second last of 9 at Wyong Super Mdn-Sw on February 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Serpico with 126lbs at $151. Will struggle again.

10
Wave Dancer silk

Raced twice to date. At debut, 6th of 12 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on February 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Divine Secrets with 126lbs at $6. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Goulburn Mdn on February 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Rambova carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Sharp improver looking for this trip.

3rd Pick
10

Wave Dancer

Jockey: Louise Day

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Louise Day

T: Ciaron Maher

75---20%

Analysis

Raced twice to date. At debut, 6th of 12 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on February 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Divine Secrets with 126lbs at $6. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Goulburn Mdn on February 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Rambova carrying 125lbs at $6.50. Sharp improver looking for this trip.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.