AU - Grafton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

GAMING (4) has gone to a new level this campaign and is chasing his third-straight win today. Allowed to take control early in the small field when a game winner with the 127lbs over 6 ½f at Lismore. Goes just as well over this trip and gets map favours with the claim. Hard to stop in this rich vein of form. LADY ALABAMA (8) continued to race well since stretching out in trip. Strong through the line when an unlucky second over 6 ½f at Lismore. Can sit off them from the draw and pounce late. NEVER ISLAND (3) in need of the run first-up when a battling seventh over 6 ½f at Lismore. Will appreciate the claim and close off strongly. WILDERNESS STAR (10) tough mare who gets a better set-up at this level. Will push forward from the draw and has a good record here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently won by a nose at Lismore Ctry Bm58 November 10 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Lady Alabama carrying 127lbs at $3.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm58 November 5 over 7f defeating Hypothermia with 122lbs at $8.50. In great form and can go on with it. 1st Pick 4 Gaming Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Stephen Bennett J: Jett Newman T: Stephen Bennett	112	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently won by a nose at Lismore Ctry Bm58 November 10 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Lady Alabama carrying 127lbs at $3.40. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose at this track Bm58 November 5 over 7f defeating Hypothermia with 122lbs at $8.50. In great form and can go on with it.
8	Recent form sound. Last start 2nd in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, slow going nose behind Gaming with 126lbs at $3.20. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len at Lismore F&M Bm58 October 19 over 6 ½f defeating Deep Stealth with 123lbs at $13. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 2nd Pick 8 Lady Alabama Jockey: Bella Youngberry Trainer: Leo Clapham J: Bella Youngberry T: Leo Clapham	123	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 2nd in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, slow going nose behind Gaming with 126lbs at $3.20. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len at Lismore F&M Bm58 October 19 over 6 ½f defeating Deep Stealth with 123lbs at $13. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 10 at this track Cl1 on October 21 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Solidude carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Second run from a spell second last in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Gaming with 132lbs at $4.20. Making headway and is right in the mix. 3rd Pick 6 Monarch Express Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jordan Lee J: Non Runner T: Jordan Lee	128	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 10 at this track Cl1 on October 21 over 5 ½f, 0.6 len behind Solidude carrying 128lbs at $4.40. Second run from a spell second last in a small field at Lismore Ctry Bm58 on November 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Gaming with 132lbs at $4.20. Making headway and is right in the mix.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.