AU - Grafton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.1f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

FIERY LASS (1) chimed in late to win a BM60 over the mile at the Sunshine Coast three runs back. Has since been okay in a harder race in town then an 1 ?m race on heavy ground. Like the set-up of this race much more - can return to form. HIGHWIRE GIRL (7) made nice progress last time out at the second run of the campaign, closing well to get up for second over 6 ?f at Lismore. Placed at both runs over today's trip and has a win and a placing from two third-up runs. Lovely profile. LATIN LIGHTS (2) raced handy and tried hard but found one better over 7 ?f at Lismore recently. Racing well deep into the prep and should show up again with the help of the inside alley. HOTZINO (5) has not raced for over seven weeks which is a negative but her efforts prior to the were commendable. Trifectas and first fours. TURN LEFT (10) will make her own luck up on the pace and she is not out of the contest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently 7th of 11 in a Bm65 at Sunshine Coast on October 16 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Family Of League with 116lbs at $8.50. The run before that 5th of 10 in a Cl2 at Doomben on October 5 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Toro Strike with 112lbs at $31. Finds a nice race and worth another chance. 1st Pick 1 Fiery Lass Jockey: William Galloway Trainer: Renita Beaton J: William Galloway T: Renita Beaton	192	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 7th of 11 in a Bm65 at Sunshine Coast on October 16 over 1m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Family Of League with 116lbs at $8.50. The run before that 5th of 10 in a Cl2 at Doomben on October 5 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind Toro Strike with 112lbs at $31. Finds a nice race and worth another chance.
7	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 in a Cl1 at Ballina on October 4 over 6 ¼f, 7 len behind Graceful Warrior carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a F&M Bm58 at Lismore on October 18 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Lennystar with 125lbs at $7. Fitter now and making headway. Fitter for two runs back from a spell and expected to measure up. 2nd Pick 7 Highwire Girl Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: John Shelton J: Luke Rolls T: John Shelton	105	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 in a Cl1 at Ballina on October 4 over 6 ¼f, 7 len behind Graceful Warrior carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a F&M Bm58 at Lismore on October 18 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Lennystar with 125lbs at $7. Fitter now and making headway. Fitter for two runs back from a spell and expected to measure up.
2	Form hard to fault. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Cl1 at Lismore on October 18 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Sunset Trail with 125lbs at $3.40. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at Ballina on October 4 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Cosmic Coco carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Rarely far away of late and looks a sound each-way hope. 3rd Pick 2 Latin Lights Jockey: Andrew Mallyon Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Andrew Mallyon T: Matthew Dunn	137	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Ctry Cl1 at Lismore on October 18 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Sunset Trail with 125lbs at $3.40. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at Ballina on October 4 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Cosmic Coco carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Rarely far away of late and looks a sound each-way hope.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.