AU - Grafton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

5.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MRS GOLDBERG (9) started in the red but missed the placings when resuming over 5 ?f at Lismore last start. Led all the way to win over 5f at her only other run back in August. Better for that last outing and with luck from a wide gate can return to winning ways. AUSTRALASIA (10) was too good for a $1.50 pop two back then got too far back last time out over 5f at Ballina, making good late ground but never threatening. Handy filly who comes right into contention over this more suitable trip. LA CACHE A VIN (8) backs up seven days after an eye-catching third over 5 ½f at Armidale. Has been in the frame just once in 13 visits to Grafton which is hard to ignore, but that run last Sunday was a flashing light effort. AMAYA'S SECRET (3) was seven weeks between runs when she failed to beat one home over 4f at Ipswich recently. Better for that run and this is a more suitable contest. PRINCE OF PROPHETS (6) resumes. Will be better for the run but can sneak into the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third race start. Strong on debut as favourite, won by 0.7 len at Coffs Harbour Super Mdn August 1 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Jasira carrying 117lbs at $3.60. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 at Lismore Cl1 on January 4 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Bring Me Saki carrying 118lbs at $1.90. Lightly raced filly who can improve sharply and play a key role. 1st Pick 9 Mrs Goldberg Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Non Runner T: Matthew Dunn	288	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Third race start. Strong on debut as favourite, won by 0.7 len at Coffs Harbour Super Mdn August 1 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Jasira carrying 117lbs at $3.60. Went for a break before returning 4th of 9 at Lismore Cl1 on January 4 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Bring Me Saki carrying 118lbs at $1.90. Lightly raced filly who can improve sharply and play a key role.
10	Most recently got back early 5th of 10 at Ballina Ctry Cl1 on January 16 over 5f, 2 len behind Tophet carrying 121lbs at $4.80. The race before that won by a neck at Ballina Ctry Mdn-Sw January 9 over 5f defeating Southampton Flare with 122lbs at $3.50. Big chance to return to the winner's list. 2nd Pick 10 Australasia Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Daniel Bowen J: Ben Looker T: Daniel Bowen	87	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently got back early 5th of 10 at Ballina Ctry Cl1 on January 16 over 5f, 2 len behind Tophet carrying 121lbs at $4.80. The race before that won by a neck at Ballina Ctry Mdn-Sw January 9 over 5f defeating Southampton Flare with 122lbs at $3.50. Big chance to return to the winner's list.
8	At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Armidale Cg&E Bm58 on January 18 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.0 len behind Master Gee carrying 128lbs at $11. The start before that 5th of 11 at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 on January 6 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Athena's Treasure with 128lbs at $17. Rates highly on the latest efforts and can measure up. 3rd Pick 8 La Cache A Vin Jockey: Grady Spokes Trainer: Brett Bellamy J: Grady Spokes T: Brett Bellamy	95	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Armidale Cg&E Bm58 on January 18 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.0 len behind Master Gee carrying 128lbs at $11. The start before that 5th of 11 at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 on January 6 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Athena's Treasure with 128lbs at $17. Rates highly on the latest efforts and can measure up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.