AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

21.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MISS TRUMP (10) nice filly who failed to make an impression in G2 class on debut in the Reisling last March. Sharp drop in grade first up with a fighting Maiden win over 5f at Port Macquarie. Has the upside to go quickly through the grades and can keep the winning momentum going. CHEATING LILIBET (6) strengthened over the break and got the Maiden win out of the way second up. Covered ground from the sticky gate with a fading fifth over 5f at Tuncurry on the soft (7) track. Will appreciate the firmer track today. Each way. DIZZY DEE (1) massive drop in class and kept fresh. Gets map favours and worth noting four of her wins have come at this track. Well placed to make amends. KATE'S TIARA (2) returned to form at her last two starts and the apprentice goes on for this. Gets a much better set up for this and can race closer in a weaker contest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third race start. First start ran last of 9 in the G2 Reisling Stakes at Randwick on March 7 over 6f, 12 len behind Chayan with 125lbs at $31. Returned from break favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Port Macquarie on July 31 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Fratianno carrying 121lbs at $2.25. Back in fine order and should prove too sharp again. 1st Pick 10 Miss Trump Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Paul Snowden J: Ben Looker T: Paul Snowden	198	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Third race start. First start ran last of 9 in the G2 Reisling Stakes at Randwick on March 7 over 6f, 12 len behind Chayan with 125lbs at $31. Returned from break favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Port Macquarie on July 31 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Fratianno carrying 121lbs at $2.25. Back in fine order and should prove too sharp again.
6	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 in a Cl1 at Tuncurry on August 24 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Issy's Star with 121lbs at $14. The start before that won by a head at Taree on August 14 over 5f in soft going defeating Fratianno with 126lbs at $4.20. Will appreciate the firmer surface and sure to be thereabouts. 2nd Pick 6 Cheating Lilibet Jockey: Madeline Owen Trainer: Karen Owen J: Madeline Owen T: Karen Owen	76	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 in a Cl1 at Tuncurry on August 24 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Issy's Star with 121lbs at $14. The start before that won by a head at Taree on August 14 over 5f in soft going defeating Fratianno with 126lbs at $4.20. Will appreciate the firmer surface and sure to be thereabouts.
7	Last start 5th of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Why Wait with 126lbs at $26. The start before that won by 2 len at Casino on August 8 over 6f defeating Rainbow Lass carrying 131lbs at $3.90. Has been racing well. Place preferred. 3rd Pick 7 Devious Mind Jockey: Raymond Spokes Trainer: Leo Clapham J: Raymond Spokes T: Leo Clapham	73	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 11 in a Ctry Bm58 at Murwillumbah on August 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Why Wait with 126lbs at $26. The start before that won by 2 len at Casino on August 8 over 6f defeating Rainbow Lass carrying 131lbs at $3.90. Has been racing well. Place preferred.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.