AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

21.3K

VIEW

Verdict

COMMEDIA (11) comes up from Victoria and now in the Peter Sinclair yard. Given the two searching trials and can shed her Maiden status at start six. LORD OF FLAMES (5) in leading yard and resumes after showing ability in his three career starts last time in. Gelded over the break and primed for this with the two trials. Can roll forward from the draw and take holding out. AMAZIGH TORQUE (10) well bred Castelvecchio filly from the stakes winning dam Moroccan Rose on debut for the Matt Dunn yard. Latest trial at the Gold Coast had merit and ready to run a forward race. LOFTY MACSPORRAN (4) Highland Reel gelding out of Cruz De Vega on debut for the Matt Dunn yard. Hardly set the world alight in two trials and no shock to see him finish in the placings. MUSUMECI (2) resumes for the new stable and stays in the mix after his minor placing at Quirindi last May.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Resumes after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fourth of 7 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw November 11 over 5f, in the wet, 7 len behind Torotena carrying 123lbs at $4.40. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Kilmore 3yo F Mdn-Sw September 14 over 5 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Pure Passion with 126lbs at $3.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Anticipating her to hit the ground running for the new yard. 1st Pick 11 Commedia Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Peter Sinclair J: Jett Newman T: Peter Sinclair	179	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resumes after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fourth of 7 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw November 11 over 5f, in the wet, 7 len behind Torotena carrying 123lbs at $4.40. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Kilmore 3yo F Mdn-Sw September 14 over 5 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Pure Passion with 126lbs at $3.50. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Anticipating her to hit the ground running for the new yard.
5	Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn August 29 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Voodoo Lass carrying 131lbs at $2.20. On debut fifth of 9 at this track 2yo Swp July 17 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Albany Road with 121lbs at $9. Returns with the two trials and can get off the mark quickly. 2nd Pick 5 Lord Of Flames Jockey: Andrew Mallyon Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Andrew Mallyon T: Matthew Dunn	145	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation third of 11 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn August 29 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Voodoo Lass carrying 131lbs at $2.20. On debut fifth of 9 at this track 2yo Swp July 17 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Albany Road with 121lbs at $9. Returns with the two trials and can get off the mark quickly.
10	Three-year-old filly making debut by Castelvecchio out of Moroccan Rose. Purchased for AUD $ 100,000 (Magic Millions 2024 Gold Coast Yearling Sale). Was third in a Gold Coast barrier trial over 5f on February 24. Expected to run well from the inside gate. 3rd Pick 10 Amazigh Torque Jockey: Jake Bayliss Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Jake Bayliss T: Matthew Dunn	71	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Three-year-old filly making debut by Castelvecchio out of Moroccan Rose. Purchased for AUD $ 100,000 (Magic Millions 2024 Gold Coast Yearling Sale). Was third in a Gold Coast barrier trial over 5f on February 24. Expected to run well from the inside gate.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.