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3:40 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
19 Runners
5.5f
Class 3
Turf
SOFT 6
20.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Emerging talent COPPERLINE (8) made it two from two this prep when he pulled out all stops to salute over this trip at Scone last start. Might need to do a little work to cross from a wide gate but with even luck he can keep the ball rolling. SOMERTON SMART (6) returns after a ten-week lay-off. Beaten just over a length over this distance at Scone when fresh from a spell last prep. Lightly raced three-year-old with plenty of scope for improvement this time in work. THEIR FINEST HOUR (5) has won two from two this campaign by an aggregate of 10 lengths. Both were on heavy tracks so it remains to be seen if the form carries to a firmer surface. SIRSA NUWA (12) dominated up front at Port Macquarie last start and should give a great sight again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Copperline silk

Third-up today. Resuming won by a long-neck at Scone Mdn-Sw May 15 over 5f defeating Flirtation with 130lbs at $7.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at Scone Cl1 June 9 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Too Darn Finesse carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Most promising youngster who is a great chance to chalk up the hat trick.

1st Pick
8

Copperline

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Scott Singleton

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Scott Singleton

172---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming won by a long-neck at Scone Mdn-Sw May 15 over 5f defeating Flirtation with 130lbs at $7.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at Scone Cl1 June 9 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Too Darn Finesse carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Most promising youngster who is a great chance to chalk up the hat trick.

4
Dance Gavin Dance silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently won by 0.8 len at Casino Bm66 June 25 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Bring Me Saki carrying 128lbs at $3.80. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Murwillumbah Ctry Bm58 on June 8 over 5f, in the wet, 1.2 len behind Deep Stealth with 137lbs at $2.50. Just needs luck from the wide draw to be in the finish again.

2nd Pick
4

Dance Gavin Dance

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Owen Glue

J: Non Runner

T: Owen Glue

138---10%10/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently won by 0.8 len at Casino Bm66 June 25 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Bring Me Saki carrying 128lbs at $3.80. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Murwillumbah Ctry Bm58 on June 8 over 5f, in the wet, 1.2 len behind Deep Stealth with 137lbs at $2.50. Just needs luck from the wide draw to be in the finish again.

6
Somerton Smart silk

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 10 at Gosford Bm64 April 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Cool Lad carrying 129lbs at $2.25. When resuming last campaign fourth of 10 at Scone Cl2 March 20 over 5 ½f, soft track, 1.1 len behind Shotgun Bella carrying 128lbs at $2.05. Returns in a winnable race.

3rd Pick
6

Somerton Smart

Jockey: Cejay Graham

Trainer: Sue Grills

J: Cejay Graham

T: Sue Grills

153---12%8/1

Analysis

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 10 at Gosford Bm64 April 25 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Cool Lad carrying 129lbs at $2.25. When resuming last campaign fourth of 10 at Scone Cl2 March 20 over 5 ½f, soft track, 1.1 len behind Shotgun Bella carrying 128lbs at $2.05. Returns in a winnable race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.