AU - Grafton - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SWAG (1) has returned from a spell in good order, battling on well for third at his latest outing over 6 ¾f at Doomben. Honest three-year-old who should find this a shade easier and will be ready to peak at the third run back. NEED FOR SPIETH (3) impressed first-up over 6 ½f at Toowoomba three weeks ago, making a sustained run from last at one stage to win by a whisker. Sparingly raced gelding who can take this next step. RUSSIANTOTHEPOST (5) returns for a second campaign off a 20-week break. Progressed nicely in the maiden prep including a close third over the mile in a Class 1 at the Sunshine Coast most recently. Capable of going to a new level this time in work. CLIVE'S GLORY (2) has been freshened up since missing the placings over 1 ¼m at the Sunshine Coast poly seven weeks ago. Bolted in at the Sunny Coast in a recent trial. Should sprint well while fresh. PERMISSION DENIED (4) has won two races, both at or around today's trip. In the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last in a small field at Ipswich Cg&E Cl2-Sw on June 4 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Fire Bomber with 128lbs at $10. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Doomben Cl1-Sw on June 24 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Automne Tree with 131lbs at $12. Racing well. Cherry ripe after two runs back and will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 1 Swag Jockey: Robbie Dolan Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Robbie Dolan T: Michael Freedman	230	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up ran second last in a small field at Ipswich Cg&E Cl2-Sw on June 4 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Fire Bomber with 128lbs at $10. Second-up held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Doomben Cl1-Sw on June 24 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Automne Tree with 131lbs at $12. Racing well. Cherry ripe after two runs back and will take plenty of beating.
3	Second-up. First-up after eight months won by a nose at Toowoomba Bm55 June 13 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Miss Dramatic with 132lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Ballina Cl1 on October 5 over 6 ¼f, 10 len behind National Interest with 122lbs at $5.50. Back in fine order and is sure to prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Need For Spieth Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Indiana Turner J: Brandon Lerena T: Indiana Turner	101	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months won by a nose at Toowoomba Bm55 June 13 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Miss Dramatic with 132lbs at $11. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Ballina Cl1 on October 5 over 6 ¼f, 10 len behind National Interest with 122lbs at $5.50. Back in fine order and is sure to prove hard to beat.
5	Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl1 February 13 over 1m, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Cool Running carrying 127lbs at $8.50. On debut sixth of 12 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn January 16 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Silver Smash carrying 128lbs at $14. Expecting improvement this time in work. 3rd Pick 5 Russiantothepost Jockey: Tiffani Brooker Trainer: James Healy J: Tiffani Brooker T: James Healy	112	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl1 February 13 over 1m, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Cool Running carrying 127lbs at $8.50. On debut sixth of 12 at Sunshine Coast 3yo Mdn January 16 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Silver Smash carrying 128lbs at $14. Expecting improvement this time in work.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.