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3:25 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 2

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
5.2f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
20.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DANCE GAVIN DANCE (16) showed plenty of natural pace and gave a kick under pressure but was edged out on debut last start over 5f at Ballina. Will take a lot from that experience. Makes his own luck up front again and he is clearly the one to beat. SUNSTAZ (12) was friendless in betting on debut last time out over 4f at Coffs Harbour but worked home well to grab a minor placing. Expect the market to sit up and pay attention this time around, particularly over this more suitable journey. RICH STAR (2) returns after an 18-week spell. Was competitive at all three runs in the maiden campaign, with seven winners coming out of the last two races he contested. Blinkers go on today. Just needs luck from the wide gate to be right in the finish. ZOSMA (5) last appeared when a close second over 6 ½f at Lismore on 19 December. Placed five from eight so although this is short of his best a big run is likely. MAXXED OUT (1) impressed first-up at Coffs and can improve out to this trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
16
Dance Gavin Dance silk

Dual acceptor. At debut, 3rd of 8 at Ballina Ctry Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 5f, 0.7 len behind Australasia with 127lbs at $11. Should come on following that experience and looks set to break the maiden status.

1st Pick
16

Dance Gavin Dance

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Owen Glue

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Owen Glue

192---19%9/2

Analysis

Dual acceptor. At debut, 3rd of 8 at Ballina Ctry Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 5f, 0.7 len behind Australasia with 127lbs at $11. Should come on following that experience and looks set to break the maiden status.

12
Sunstaz silk

Was at big odds at debut, 3rd of 8 at Coffs Harbour 3yo+ Ctry Mdnsw on January 11 over 4f, 2 len behind Dividends Paid with 122lbs at $31. Found the line well that day so she will be hard to hold out over this longer trip.

2nd Pick
12

Sunstaz

Jockey: Jon Grisedale

Trainer: David Matts

J: Jon Grisedale

T: David Matts

81---15%6/1

Analysis

Was at big odds at debut, 3rd of 8 at Coffs Harbour 3yo+ Ctry Mdnsw on January 11 over 4f, 2 len behind Dividends Paid with 122lbs at $31. Found the line well that day so she will be hard to hold out over this longer trip.

2
Rich Star silk

Resuming after a four months break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 12 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw September 22 over 5f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Prestige Ice with 130lbs at $1.80. On debut second of 12 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw August 26 over 5 ¼f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind So Koby with 126lbs at $19. Wide gate a worry but while fresh with blinkers on should make a bright return.

3rd Pick
2

Rich Star

Jockey: Bella Youngberry

Trainer: Chris Manson

J: Bella Youngberry

T: Chris Manson

122---23%7/2

Analysis

Resuming after a four months break. Finished off last preparation fourth of 12 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw September 22 over 5f, soft track, 1.0 len behind Prestige Ice with 130lbs at $1.80. On debut second of 12 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw August 26 over 5 ¼f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind So Koby with 126lbs at $19. Wide gate a worry but while fresh with blinkers on should make a bright return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.