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2:35 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 2

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
10.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NATURE BOY (4) dropped sharply in trip with a disappointing last over 1m at Scone from the outside draw. Since fitted with a 5f tick over trial and regular apprentice hops back aboard. Can make rapid improvement over his pet trip. LIBBY (6) fourth-up for this and ready to show her best after running on late to secure sixth over 1m at Gunnedah. Won over this track and trip last July and expected to go close with Luke Rolls engaged. MR PLUME (1) in career best form with the strong win at Taree two starts back. Got out late with a fast finishing third over 1 ?m at this track. Backmarker who keeps coming, respect. DIPIERDOMENICO (2) desperate for this trip third-up after returning good figures late to run fifth over 1 ¹/16m at Muswellbrook. No surprise to see him swoop late to win this. SIR ZINO (9) assess on his sixth two-back over this track and trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Nature Boy silk

At the latest run ran last of 10 at Scone Ctry Bm58 on February 24 over 1m, slow going 37 len behind Corpsman carrying 127lbs at $51. The run before that led but faded 3rd of 10 at Tamworth Bm58 on February 13 over 1 5/16m, 3.5 len behind Fulmen Filou carrying 127lbs at $13. Tough old gelding well placed over this trip.

1st Pick
4

Nature Boy

Jockey: Emily Farr

Trainer: Lea Selby

J: Emily Farr

T: Lea Selby

141---8%12/1

Analysis

At the latest run ran last of 10 at Scone Ctry Bm58 on February 24 over 1m, slow going 37 len behind Corpsman carrying 127lbs at $51. The run before that led but faded 3rd of 10 at Tamworth Bm58 on February 13 over 1 5/16m, 3.5 len behind Fulmen Filou carrying 127lbs at $13. Tough old gelding well placed over this trip.

6
Libby silk

At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 9 at Gunnedah Cl1-Sw on March 7 over 1m, 2 len behind Trust A Kitty carrying 126lbs at $7.50. The start before that second last of 13 at Tamworth Bm58 on February 13 over 7f, 12 len behind Halo Phenomena carrying 125lbs at $101. Made headway last time. Proven at this trip and set to peak.

2nd Pick
6

Libby

Jockey: Luke Rolls

Trainer: Ridge Wilson

J: Luke Rolls

T: Ridge Wilson

95---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 9 at Gunnedah Cl1-Sw on March 7 over 1m, 2 len behind Trust A Kitty carrying 126lbs at $7.50. The start before that second last of 13 at Tamworth Bm58 on February 13 over 7f, 12 len behind Halo Phenomena carrying 125lbs at $101. Made headway last time. Proven at this trip and set to peak.

1
Mr Plume silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 8 at this track Bm58 on March 5 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Champagne Rouge with 129lbs at $5.50. The run before that won by 0.6 len at Taree Bm58 February 13 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Thinkin' Bo You carrying 133lbs at $5.50. Well placed again with the claim.

3rd Pick
1

Mr Plume

Jockey: Liberty Smyth

Trainer: Sally Taylor

J: Liberty Smyth

T: Sally Taylor

128---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd of 8 at this track Bm58 on March 5 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Champagne Rouge with 129lbs at $5.50. The run before that won by 0.6 len at Taree Bm58 February 13 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Thinkin' Bo You carrying 133lbs at $5.50. Well placed again with the claim.

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