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2:05 AM

AU - Grafton - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8.4f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CRASHMYPLAYA (5) deep into the preparation now and will appreciate the extra distance. Surged late with an eye-catching second over 7 ½f at Port Macquarie. On the quick backup and can finally get off the mark. CAIRO QUEEN (4) fifth-up today with the claim and can pinch some cheap sectionals early from the good gate. Taken to the front when collared late for a narrow second over 7 ¾f at the Gold Coast Poly. Gets her chance to run this trip out. Each way. ADEEL IT'S A STEAL (1) improving Dundeel gelding getting out to his right trip today. Better effort second-up when closed strongly to secure third over 7 ?f at Coffs Harbour. Shouldered the big weight last start and shouldn't be a Maiden for long. MAHUIKA MAROI (2) much better performance at her second run back when stalked the speed for a tough second over 1 ¹/16m at this track. Can get cover from the draw and take a hand in the finish.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Crashmyplaya silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Port Macquarie Mdn on November 13 over 7 ½f, 1.3 len behind Sara's Rocket carrying 126lbs at $3.50. The run before that came from the tail of the field 2nd of 11 at Port Macquarie Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 7 ½f, head behind Chelsea carrying 130lbs at $26. Capable of big final splits and looking for the trip.

1st Pick
5

Crashmyplaya

Jockey: Luke Rolls

Trainer: Colt Prosser

J: Luke Rolls

T: Colt Prosser

115---46%6/5

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Port Macquarie Mdn on November 13 over 7 ½f, 1.3 len behind Sara's Rocket carrying 126lbs at $3.50. The run before that came from the tail of the field 2nd of 11 at Port Macquarie Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 7 ½f, head behind Chelsea carrying 130lbs at $26. Capable of big final splits and looking for the trip.

4
Cairo Queen silk

Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Gold Coast Poly Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 7 ¾f, head behind Forever Fortune with 119lbs at $4.40. Before that 6th of 10 at Sunshine Coast F&M Mdn on October 19 over 7f, 6 len behind Roxset with 123lbs at $9. Will roll forward and take catching.

2nd Pick
4

Cairo Queen

Jockey: Jett Newman

Trainer: Michael Lakey

J: Jett Newman

T: Michael Lakey

140---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Gold Coast Poly Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 7 ¾f, head behind Forever Fortune with 119lbs at $4.40. Before that 6th of 10 at Sunshine Coast F&M Mdn on October 19 over 7f, 6 len behind Roxset with 123lbs at $9. Will roll forward and take catching.

1
Adeel It's A Steal silk

Third-up today. First-up ran last of 8 at Newcastle Cg&E Mdn on October 18 over 6 ¼f, 8 len behind Zoucratic with 129lbs at $26. Last start 3rd of 7 at Coffs Harbour Mdn on November 1 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Releasethewolves with 130lbs at $4.40. Heading in the right direction and looks hard to beat.

3rd Pick
1

Adeel It's A Steal

Jockey: Andrew Mallyon

Trainer: Jake Hull

J: Andrew Mallyon

T: Jake Hull

110---6%16/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up ran last of 8 at Newcastle Cg&E Mdn on October 18 over 6 ¼f, 8 len behind Zoucratic with 129lbs at $26. Last start 3rd of 7 at Coffs Harbour Mdn on November 1 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Releasethewolves with 130lbs at $4.40. Heading in the right direction and looks hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.