AU - Goulburn - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

REEL CRYSTAL (6) progressive filly racing in career best form. Gave the winner 11lbs last start with a fighting second over 1 ¼m at Bathurst. Should handle the Goulburn track and get the extra trip. Hard to hold out. SEPTIMUS (4) deep into the prep and had genuine excuses when never on the track for a plugging sixth over 1 ¼m at Wyong in stronger grade. Senior rider hops on for this and can race closer from the good barrier. leading contender. IT IS TO BE (3) out of her depth last start from the outside gate with a dismal eleventh over 1 ½m at Randwick Kensington in BM78 grade. Faces a far less daunting assignment this time, has genuine claims. DON'T TELL POLLY (5) was below her best last time when tenth over 1 ¼m at Randwick in BM72 grade. Gets weight relief with the claim and expected to bounce back quickly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Racing well recently. Last start 2nd in a small field at Bathurst Bm58 on June 16 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Charlotting with 130lbs at $1.80. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Wagga Bm58 on June 4 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, head behind Mr Tadashi with 128lbs at $2.80. Well placed. Gone to a new level this prep and this is within her grasp. 1st Pick 6 Reel Crystal Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Nick Olive J: Alysha Collett T: Nick Olive	165	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 2nd in a small field at Bathurst Bm58 on June 16 over 1 ¼m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Charlotting with 130lbs at $1.80. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Wagga Bm58 on June 4 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, head behind Mr Tadashi with 128lbs at $2.80. Well placed. Gone to a new level this prep and this is within her grasp.
4	Last start eased back early on 6th of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on June 7 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Villa Castina carrying 117lbs at $10. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Nowra Bm66 on May 24 over 1m, in the wet, 1.0 len behind It Is To Be carrying 127lbs at $4.40. In a suitable race and looks sure to feature. 2nd Pick 4 Septimus Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Keagan Latham T: Matthew Smith	146	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start eased back early on 6th of 10 at Wyong Bm64 on June 7 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Villa Castina carrying 117lbs at $10. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Nowra Bm66 on May 24 over 1m, in the wet, 1.0 len behind It Is To Be carrying 127lbs at $4.40. In a suitable race and looks sure to feature.
3	Last start ran second last of 12 at Randwick Kensington Bm78 on June 10 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Pinhole with 119lbs at $201. The start before that won by 1.0 len at Nowra Bm66 May 24 over 1m in the wet defeating Septimus carrying 122lbs at $3.10. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 3 It Is To Be Jockey: Shaun Guymer Trainer: Pat Murphy J: Shaun Guymer T: Pat Murphy	124	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Last start ran second last of 12 at Randwick Kensington Bm78 on June 10 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Pinhole with 119lbs at $201. The start before that won by 1.0 len at Nowra Bm66 May 24 over 1m in the wet defeating Septimus carrying 122lbs at $3.10. Certainly worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.