AU - Gosford - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

FOVEA (9) is lightly raced and progressive, having won her Maiden by two and a half lengths at Kembla Grange before a sound second in BM68 grade at Warwick Farm. Cross over nose band goes on and has the speed to et across. ASCOT GREEN (2) resumes after a six-month break with two trials behind her, including a latest third at Kembla Grange, and she has won her only previous try around 5 ½f. Her autumn form included a Class 1 win at Kembla Grange before contesting Saturday company at Randwick. Looms as a serious threat fresh. PREMIUM (1) looks well placed third-up after a second and a fifth at Illawarra Grange, and her record around 5 ½f, at this venue and on wet ground gives her the most rounded profile. The 4lbs claim helps offset the top weight, and she has enough race fitness to peak now. HEY JUDE (11) was well beaten last start, after striking early interference. Fitter third-up and her previous third at Kembla Grange keeps her in the winning conversation.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Lightly raced filly with a win and a second from two starts, most recently second in a BM68 at Warwick Farm after leading clearly and being claimed late by Crescent King. Her Kembla Grange debut win was sharp, beating Eviction Notice by two and a half lengths as an odds-on favourite. Third-up and still improving, leading contender despite drawing out. 1st Pick 9 Fovea Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Tommy Berry T: Bjorn Baker	165	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Lightly raced filly with a win and a second from two starts, most recently second in a BM68 at Warwick Farm after leading clearly and being claimed late by Crescent King. Her Kembla Grange debut win was sharp, beating Eviction Notice by two and a half lengths as an odds-on favourite. Third-up and still improving, leading contender despite drawing out.
2	Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign 11th in a BM72 at Randwick, beaten just under five lengths in Saturday company after leading and fading. She had won a Class 1 at Kembla Grange the run prior, beating Mrs Maree by a nose, and her two trials add fitness. Can sprint well fresh with the two sound trials under her belt. 2nd Pick 2 Ascot Green Jockey: Chad Schofield Trainer: John P Thompson J: Chad Schofield T: John P Thompson	72	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign 11th in a BM72 at Randwick, beaten just under five lengths in Saturday company after leading and fading. She had won a Class 1 at Kembla Grange the run prior, beating Mrs Maree by a nose, and her two trials add fitness. Can sprint well fresh with the two sound trials under her belt.
1	Placed first-up at Illawarra Grange then was fifth there last start, beaten just under three lengths after settling close enough and fading late. She is fitter third-up, has won at this track and around 5 ½f, and the 4lbs claim helps against the top weight. The trip has some query, but her overall profile is sound. 3rd Pick 1 Premium Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Gary Portelli J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Gary Portelli	94	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Placed first-up at Illawarra Grange then was fifth there last start, beaten just under three lengths after settling close enough and fading late. She is fitter third-up, has won at this track and around 5 ½f, and the 4lbs claim helps against the top weight. The trip has some query, but her overall profile is sound.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

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Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.