AU - Gosford - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

31.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SHOW COUNTY (5) struggled to see the 6 ½f out at his second run back with a fading eighth over 6 ½f at Rosehill in Midway class. This looks more to his liking and can return to form quickly. ZALE (3) holding his form this campaign and had genuine excuses when snagged back from the awkward gate to finish eighth over 6f at Wyong in BM72 grade. Can hold a forward position today and best form is good enough to take this out. STARINION (10) good win two-back at Kembla, then had to work hard from the wide gate with a tiring ninth over 6 ½f at Canberra in C2 class. Drops sharply in weight with the 7lbs claim and not to be underestimated. PUERTO BANUS (2) three runs back have had merit and primed for this from the inside draw. Key jockey change and represents good each way value. The chances don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at this track Provmid Champ on March 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Mogul Monarch with 123lbs at $91. Second run from a spell faded in the straight 8th of 12 at Rosehill Midway 5yo+ Bm72 on March 28 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Annie's Rose carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back in what looks a suitable assignment. 1st Pick 5 Show County Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Alexandre Lemarie J: Keagan Latham T: Alexandre Lemarie	129	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at this track Provmid Champ on March 14 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Mogul Monarch with 123lbs at $91. Second run from a spell faded in the straight 8th of 12 at Rosehill Midway 5yo+ Bm72 on March 28 over 6 ½f, slow going 5.5 len behind Annie's Rose carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Can bounce back in what looks a suitable assignment.
3	At the latest run 8th of 10 at Wyong Bm72 on March 18 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Caesar with 122lbs at $16. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Bm72 on March 4 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Ready To Shine with 123lbs at $12. Hard to beat on his best form from the low draw. 2nd Pick 3 Zale Jockey: Winona Costin Trainer: Gary Nickson J: Winona Costin T: Gary Nickson	176	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 10 at Wyong Bm72 on March 18 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Caesar with 122lbs at $16. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Bm72 on March 4 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Ready To Shine with 123lbs at $12. Hard to beat on his best form from the low draw.
10	Comes off a 32 day let-up. At the latest run 9th of 11 at Canberra Cl2-Sw on March 8 over 6 ½f, slow going 9 len behind Divine Secrets with 130lbs at $17. The race before that won by a head at Kembla Grange 5yo+ Bm64 February 17 over 6f defeating The New Sinatra carrying 116lbs at $3. Deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 10 Starinion Jockey: Rebecca Bronett Prag Trainer: Steven Sampson J: Rebecca Bronett Prag T: Steven Sampson	93	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Comes off a 32 day let-up. At the latest run 9th of 11 at Canberra Cl2-Sw on March 8 over 6 ½f, slow going 9 len behind Divine Secrets with 130lbs at $17. The race before that won by a head at Kembla Grange 5yo+ Bm64 February 17 over 6f defeating The New Sinatra carrying 116lbs at $3. Deserves another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.