AU - Gosford - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

29.3K

VIEW

Verdict

TICKELOVA (6) earns top billing after a sharp first up second at Newcastle to Lucsain when beaten just over half a length despite easing in betting. The return to 5 ½f brings a small query, but she has the right recent run to build from and looks well placed to break through. DON'T DOUBT DARCY (3) has been off the scene for ten months, yet the Warwick Farm trial win suggests he is forward enough to run well fresh, and his debut fourth as favourite at Kembla Grange had enough merit despite keenness. Strengthened over the break and expected to go close. BRUTAL ADVANCE (4) is the proven race-fit danger after three straight seconds this campaign, the latest a neck defeat at Kembla Grange when held up in the straight as an odds-on favourite. Stalks the speed and a win looks imminent. ROSIE ROUGE (8) resumes off a Randwick trial win over 5 ¼f and was close enough at Warwick Farm on debut before fading late on February 19. Her profile gives her genuine upside from the rails draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Resumed with a much better run at Newcastle, finishing second to Lucsain and beaten just over half a length after travelling close enough to win. She was an outside chance in the betting there, so the performance carried genuine merit. The 5 ½f is a small query, but she sets the standard from a low draw. 1st Pick 6 Tickelova Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Kris Lees J: Dylan Gibbons T: Kris Lees	114	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resumed with a much better run at Newcastle, finishing second to Lucsain and beaten just over half a length after travelling close enough to win. She was an outside chance in the betting there, so the performance carried genuine merit. The 5 ½f is a small query, but she sets the standard from a low draw.
3	Back from ten months off after a debut fourth in a Mdn at Kembla Grange, where he was sent out favourite and finished just over three lengths from Hinzel after racing keenly. That first race experience should not be dismissed, and he returns with an easy Warwick Farm trial win to suggest readiness. Trialling well with a host of gear changes, strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 3 Don't Doubt Darcy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Con Karakatsanis J: Non Runner T: Con Karakatsanis	66	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Back from ten months off after a debut fourth in a Mdn at Kembla Grange, where he was sent out favourite and finished just over three lengths from Hinzel after racing keenly. That first race experience should not be dismissed, and he returns with an easy Warwick Farm trial win to suggest readiness. Trialling well with a host of gear changes, strong winning chance.
4	Continues to race well without quite finishing the job, most recently second in a Mdn at Kembla Grange when beaten a neck by Bold Bucks as short odds-on favourite. He had to be steadied, was held up in the straight and then laid out, so there was enough against him. The win is overdue, and shapes a major player. 3rd Pick 4 Brutal Advance Jockey: Chad Lever Trainer: Kerry Parker J: Chad Lever T: Kerry Parker	154	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Continues to race well without quite finishing the job, most recently second in a Mdn at Kembla Grange when beaten a neck by Bold Bucks as short odds-on favourite. He had to be steadied, was held up in the straight and then laid out, so there was enough against him. The win is overdue, and shapes a major player.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.