AU - Gosford - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

31.4K

VIEW

Verdict

PONZI SCHEME (8) has the right profile to break through after a solid third at Moruya, where he was beaten just over two lengths on soft ground and showed the benefit of being second-up. The rise from country company into a harder provincial assignment is noted, but he has already placed at this distance and has upside from a soft draw. HIDDEN NEWS (7) is the clear danger after going under narrowly at Newcastle, with the late hold-up adding merit to that second. Unlucky not to finish closer last start and shapes as the main threat. READY MADE HEIR (5) has the most exposed placing record, comes off a Port Macquarie second as favourite and gets first-time blinkers, although repeated placings rather than wins keep some caution in the assessment. Can hold a position and due for a change of luck. POMELO CHAMOMILE (11) must rebound from a poor Illawarra Grange run, but her nose second at Tuncurry and a solid recent trial keep her in the minor mix. Placed here and look for her late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Made the right improvement third-up when placed at Moruya, finishing third to Coco Dior and beaten just over two lengths on soft ground after settling close enough. The Kembla Grange run before that was affected by a slow beginning, so the latest effort is the better guide. Brings the right race-fit profile and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 8 Ponzi Scheme Jockey: Chad Lever Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Chad Lever T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	152	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Made the right improvement third-up when placed at Moruya, finishing third to Coco Dior and beaten just over two lengths on soft ground after settling close enough. The Kembla Grange run before that was affected by a slow beginning, so the latest effort is the better guide. Brings the right race-fit profile and looks the one to beat.
7	Took a clear step forward second-up at Newcastle, finishing second to River Jordan and beaten just under a length despite being held up near the ¾f. His debut fourth over 4 ½f at the same venue had enough merit at generous odds, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up for a stable that has strong track credentials. Brings one of the strongest exposed form lines. 2nd Pick 7 Hidden News Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Kim Waugh J: Keagan Latham T: Kim Waugh	143	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Took a clear step forward second-up at Newcastle, finishing second to River Jordan and beaten just under a length despite being held up near the ¾f. His debut fourth over 4 ½f at the same venue had enough merit at generous odds, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up for a stable that has strong track credentials. Brings one of the strongest exposed form lines.
5	Worked home evenly for second at Port Macquarie last start, beaten a length by Letterman as favourite in country grade on soft ground. The Kembla Grange run prior was better than sixth reads after covering ground without cover throughout. First-time blinkers give her a clear winning angle if she finds a touch more. 3rd Pick 5 Ready Made Heir Jockey: Reece Jones Trainer: Kristen Buchanan J: Reece Jones T: Kristen Buchanan	139	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Worked home evenly for second at Port Macquarie last start, beaten a length by Letterman as favourite in country grade on soft ground. The Kembla Grange run prior was better than sixth reads after covering ground without cover throughout. First-time blinkers give her a clear winning angle if she finds a touch more.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.