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2:30 AM

AU - Gosford - Race 1

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
10.4f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
29.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AUTAFINNA (1) is having just his third race start today and looks to be heading in the right direction. Bounced off his narrow debut second over 1m, with a fast-finishing second over 1 ¼m at Taree on the heavy track. Key jockey change and gets his chance from the draw. RESCHS MILK (7) turned in a decent effort at her third career start when she gripped on to finish third over 1 ?m at Newcastle. Will appreciate the firmer surface and has solid top-three claims. CHUCKLER (2) is deep into the campaign and worth another chance in this easier contest. Taken back from the awkward gate in the small field with a battling sixth over 1 ½m at Randwick Kensington in BM72 class. Worth another chance on the backup. ROYAL PRINCESS (8) is improving with racing and the blinkers go on for this. Jumped in trip with a sound fourth over 1 5/16m at Gunnedah in C1 grade. Claim helps and she stays in the calculations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Autafinna silk

Had two starts to date. At debut, raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Taree Cl1-Sw on June 30 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Bridego carrying 125lbs at $19. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Taree Cl1-Sw on July 21 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, long-neck behind Smokey Saint with 125lbs at $1.95. Close to a win and looks to have more upside than most of these.

1st Pick
1

Autafinna

Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus

Trainer: Patrick Cleave

J: Adam Hyeronimus

T: Patrick Cleave

166---50%1/1

Analysis

Had two starts to date. At debut, raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Taree Cl1-Sw on June 30 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.5 len behind Bridego carrying 125lbs at $19. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Taree Cl1-Sw on July 21 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, long-neck behind Smokey Saint with 125lbs at $1.95. Close to a win and looks to have more upside than most of these.

7
Reschs Milk silk

Last start 3rd in a small field at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on July 11 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Wairarapa carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that ran second last of 7 at Canterbury 2&3yo Mdn-Sw on June 17 over 7 ¾f, slow going 4.5 len behind Sharbino with 125lbs at $19. Working up to a win. At her top now and sure to be thereabouts.

2nd Pick
7

Reschs Milk

Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy

Trainer: Kris Lees

J: Kerrin Mcevoy

T: Kris Lees

121---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 3rd in a small field at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on July 11 over 1m, on rain affected going, 3 len behind Wairarapa carrying 123lbs at $5.50. The race before that ran second last of 7 at Canterbury 2&3yo Mdn-Sw on June 17 over 7 ¾f, slow going 4.5 len behind Sharbino with 125lbs at $19. Working up to a win. At her top now and sure to be thereabouts.

2
Chuckler silk

Last start 6th of 8 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 (71) on July 29 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Elle Hudson carrying 119lbs at $101. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Cl1-Sw on July 19 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Longinus with 121lbs at $31. Certainly worth another chance.

3rd Pick
2

Chuckler

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Jack Pilkington

J: Reece Jones

T: Jack Pilkington

116---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 6th of 8 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 (71) on July 29 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Elle Hudson carrying 119lbs at $101. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Cl1-Sw on July 19 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Longinus with 121lbs at $31. Certainly worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.