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2:15 AM

AU - Gosford - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
31.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LEGASELLI (6) deserves another shot at the 1m, where she's unbeaten. Struggled to see the 1 ¼m out after displaying a poor post-race recovery with a tiring tenth at Kembla Grange. Apprentice claim and tongue-tie should see her bounce back quickly. OURAGAN (3) has solid recent form and should get a comfortable lead from the sticky gate. Kept finding with a tidy second again over this trip at Hawkesbury. Top three contender deep into the campaign. AUTUMN SKY (2) was held up along the inside and peaked on the run first-up in a BM64 over 6 ½f at Illawarra Grange. Assess on the good debut victory over 6 ¼f at Newcastle last March. Jumps sharply in trip and not to be underestimated with the claim. DERRY CITY FELIX (5) was mediocre at 1 ¼m last time but could rebound with a drop to 1m, weight relief, and a prior Hawkesbury third giving him a genuine chance if he recaptures that form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Legaselli silk

Gets back to the 1m range where she is one from one, and her Kembla Grange Mdn win two starts ago was decisive enough, beating Van Hoven by a length as an odds-on favourite. The latest 1 ¼m run was plain, with a poor recovery after she was beaten a long way, but that is the query rather than the whole story. Apprentice claim helps and deserves another chance back in trip.

1st Pick
6

Legaselli

Jockey: William Stanley

Trainer: John P Thompson

J: William Stanley

T: John P Thompson

178---31%9/4

Analysis

Gets back to the 1m range where she is one from one, and her Kembla Grange Mdn win two starts ago was decisive enough, beating Van Hoven by a length as an odds-on favourite. The latest 1 ¼m run was plain, with a poor recovery after she was beaten a long way, but that is the query rather than the whole story. Apprentice claim helps and deserves another chance back in trip.

3
Ouragan silk

Has put together a consistent campaign and was again solid when second at Hawkesbury last start, beaten a length by He's Got Grunt after settling midfield. Two back she was favourite and fought hard when just over half a length from Dubai Adventure. Honest mare who gets another strong chance to break through.

2nd Pick
3

Ouragan

Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald

Trainer: Paul & Martha Cave

J: Mollie Fitzgerald

T: Paul & Martha Cave

143---34%2/1

Analysis

Has put together a consistent campaign and was again solid when second at Hawkesbury last start, beaten a length by He's Got Grunt after settling midfield. Two back she was favourite and fought hard when just over half a length from Dubai Adventure. Honest mare who gets another strong chance to break through.

2
Autumn Sky silk

Had a genuine excuse when fourth first-up in a BM64 at Illawarra Grange, being bumped early and held up before finishing just over five lengths from Maidoff. Her only other run was a Newcastle Mdn win as favourite, beating The Champion after coming from the back. The new 1m task is the key to her place hopes.

3rd Pick
2

Autumn Sky

Jockey: Siena Grima

Trainer: Richard Litt

J: Siena Grima

T: Richard Litt

98---20%4/1

Analysis

Had a genuine excuse when fourth first-up in a BM64 at Illawarra Grange, being bumped early and held up before finishing just over five lengths from Maidoff. Her only other run was a Newcastle Mdn win as favourite, beating The Champion after coming from the back. The new 1m task is the key to her place hopes.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.