AU - Geraldton - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 2

Turf

GOOD 4

17.3K

VIEW

Verdict

GILES (1) won this trip and then delivered again over 1m this grade. Switching back in trip shouldn't bother, but he draws out today and will need some luck in the run. Rates to go close regardless. BLUE LUPIN (2) was back to his best winning his Maiden easily this track/trip. Had an outside gate and finished hard from the back. Will have to do it the hard way again, but keeps Faithful and looks capable of taking the next step. CALEB (6) can go better back to this trip. He has pieces of form good enough and maps well. Won his Maiden four back this track/trip from the 13 gate. Consider. DREAM ILLUSION (3) will be fitter and drawn low won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a head at this track Cl2 April 19 over 1m defeating Prince Epaulette with 130lbs at $21. Before that came from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track Mdn April 9 over 7f defeating Ganaji Wangkathe carrying 128lbs at $12. Can go on with the job. 1st Pick 1 Giles Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Ron Cowl (Jnr) J: Holly Nottle T: Ron Cowl (Jnr)	205	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by a head at this track Cl2 April 19 over 1m defeating Prince Epaulette with 130lbs at $21. Before that came from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track Mdn April 9 over 7f defeating Ganaji Wangkathe carrying 128lbs at $12. Can go on with the job.
2	Most recently won by 1.75 len at this track Mdn April 19 over 7f defeating Kallahti with 128lbs at $5. The run before that 5th of 9 at Albany Mdn on April 5 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Cosmic Gem with 128lbs at $3. Capable of going back-to-back. 2nd Pick 2 Blue Lupin Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Robert Gulberti J: Natasha Faithfull T: Robert Gulberti	122	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Most recently won by 1.75 len at this track Mdn April 19 over 7f defeating Kallahti with 128lbs at $5. The run before that 5th of 9 at Albany Mdn on April 5 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Cosmic Gem with 128lbs at $3. Capable of going back-to-back.
6	Most recently 10th of 12 at this track Cl2 on April 19 over 1m, 9 len behind Giles carrying 128lbs at $18. Before that from last on the turn 5th of 10 at this track Cl2 on April 9 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Southland carrying 125lbs at $14. May turn things around. 3rd Pick 6 Caleb Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Gordon Spowart J: Troy Turner T: Gordon Spowart	162	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently 10th of 12 at this track Cl2 on April 19 over 1m, 9 len behind Giles carrying 128lbs at $18. Before that from last on the turn 5th of 10 at this track Cl2 on April 9 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Southland carrying 125lbs at $14. May turn things around.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.